Expert prediction
NCAA Women’s Sweet 16: Kentucky vs Texas Preview, Odds, Predictions (March 28)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- The Wildcats took down West Virginia in the second round.
- The Longhorns eliminated Oregon in the Round of 32.
- This marks the fifth all-time matchup between the two squads.
The second half of the Sweet 16 of the 2026 NCAA Women’s Tournament will commence on the March 28 slate as the Texas Longhorns take on the Kentucky Wildcats. The former comes out as the solid favorite, paving the way for a strong matchup to go through the latter portion of the Sweet 16.
How to Watch
- When: Saturday, March 28, 3 pm ET
- Where: Dickies Arena, Fort Worth, Texas
- How to Watch: ABC
NCAA Matchup Odds & Lines
| Team | Odds | Spread | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | -110 | +14 | O131.5 |
| Texas | -110 | -14 | U131.5 |
Game Preview
The Wildcats (25-10) have made the solid effort to get to the Sweet 16, taking down James Madison and West Virginia in the process. They witnessed double-double performances from Teonni Key with 19 points and 10 rebounds as well as Clara Strack having 18 points, 15 rebounds and four blocked shots. Also, Tonie Morgan had 15 points to bolster the attack throughout the second-round game.
The Longhorns (33-3) are on a remarkable roll in March Madness, first beating Missouri State in the first round and eliminating Oregon in the Round of 32. Madison Booker sets a new Texas single-game NCAA Tournament record with 40 points. She notched her 15th game this season with 20 or more points and 43rd game of her career. In her last home game, Rori Harmon put up nine points, five steals, and six rebounds. Jordan Lee added 17 points with Teya Sidberry’s 11-point effort.
Kentucky vs Texas Head-to-Head
The two programs have had four meetings in their history, and the result is 4-0 for the Longhorns. The last matchup was in February this year when Texas won 64-53 at home.
Kentucky vs Texas Predictions
The winner of this matchup will take on the victors between Louisville and Michigan in the Elite Eight on March 30. Kentucky will have its hands full trying to keep Madison Booker in check. She has been on a scoring tear for the Longhorns, wanting to give them the best chance of competing for a national championship this season. Our betting pick here is for the Longhorns to defend a 14-point spread.
- Free NCAAB pick: Texas Longhorns -14
NCAAB
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