Expert prediction
NCAA Women’s Sweet 16: Virginia vs TCU Preview, Odds, Predictions (March 28)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- The Cavaliers survived a double-OT thriller against Iowa in the second round.
- The Horned Frogs got past Washington in the Round of 32.
- This marks the second all-time meeting between the two programs.
The March 28 schedule will see the Sweet 16 of the 2026 NCAA Women’s Tournament conclude with a game between the Virginia Cavaliers and the TCU Horned Frogs. The latter stand tall as solid favorites for the win, displaying the quality they have that can make this Sweet 16 contest an intriguing one.
How to Watch
- When: Saturday, March 28, 7:30 pm ET
- Where: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, California
- How to Watch: ESPN
NCAA Matchup Odds & Lines
| Team | Odds | Spread | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | -115 | +8 | O129 |
| TCU | -105 | -8 | U129 |
Game Preview
The Cavaliers (22-11) have been exceeding expectations throughout the NCAA Tournament, recently taking down Georgia and Iowa in thrilling overtime wins. Kymora Johnson played all 50 minutes and recorded 28 points for the second consecutive game to lead the team. Paris Clark scored 20 points of her own while contributing seven rebounds and four assists to the winning effort. Romi Levy (13 pts, 6-12 FG) and Caitlin Weimar (12 pts, 8 reb) rounded out four players in double figures.
The Horned Frogs (31-5) are performing at a solid level in March Madness, torching UC San Diego and beating Washington in an overtime victory for the second round. Olivia Miles led all players with 18 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists. She shot 6-10 from the field and scored 12 points out of the intermission. Meanwhile, Clara Silva finished with 16 points and eight rebounds and delivered the go-ahead layup on the first possession in overtime.
Virginia vs TCU Head-to-Head
The two programs have had one meeting in their history, and the result is 1-0 for the Cavaliers. The last matchup was in November 2010 when Virginia won 59-55 in the U.S. Virgin Islands.
Virginia vs TCU Predictions
The winner of this matchup will take on the victors between Oklahoma and South Carolina in the Elite Eight. Virginia is dealing with fatigue as they have played three overtime periods in their first two tournament games while TCU only dealt with one. This plays to the Horned Frogs’ favor as Olivia Miles will look to have a big performance to send her squad to the next round. Our betting pick here is for the Shockers to defend an 8-point spread.
- Free NCAAB pick: TCU Horned Frogs -8
NCAAB
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