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Expert prediction

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs Game 1 Preview, Odds, Picks (May 4)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • May 2, 2026 at 6:48 PM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Timberwolves vs. Spurs odds favor the home side at -13.5.
  • The San Antonio Spurs are +450 to win the NBA title
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves are without Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo for Game 1.

The series begins at the Frost Bank Center with Minnesota facing massive injury problems. San Antonio is a huge favorite, and the pressure is on Wemby and the guys.

Here are more NBA playoff picks.

How to Watch

  • When: Monday, May 4, 7:00 pm ET
  • Where: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
  • How to Watch: NBC Sports Network, Peacock

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Game 1 Odds

TeamOddsSpreadTotals
Timberwolves+600+13.5217.5
Spurs-900-13.5217.5

Game Preview

So the Timberwolves eliminated the Nuggets in 6 games, but the cost was very, very high. Anthony Edwards is injured and out for at least the opening two games, Donte DiVincenzo tore his Achilles, while Ayo Dosunmu has calf problems and is questionable for Game 1.

It’s up to Julius Randle now to bring scoring, with the veteran power forward being the only one left with points in his hands. Defensively, Rudy Gobert has to stop his countryman, Wembanyama, for the Wolves to have the slightest chance of pulling off an upset. He played well against Jokic, which boosted his morale.

Everyone speaks about Wemby as the offensive phenomenon, but he is, in fact, the NBA Defensive Player of the Year. So the Spurs have one of the best offenses in the league, but also defensive specialists like Wembanyama and De’Aaron Fox.

The thing is, the Spurs will play high-tempo basketball, with Castle and Fox constantly increasing the pace. That’s going to be a huge problem for the banged-up Minnesota.

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Head to Head

Minnesota won two games during the regular season, while the Spurs won one.

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Predictions

This will be an easy one for the Spurs, who are more rested, have no injuries, and have their top players healthy. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are coming into this one without pressure, yet that won’t save them from a huge loss. Everyone believes that Gobert might slow down Wemby, but only a few remember that the youngster dropped 39 points in their last meeting.

Free NBA Pick: Spurs -13.5

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