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Expert prediction

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland Preview, Odds, Predictions (May 9)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • May 8, 2026 at 2:52 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Khamzat vs. Strickland UFC 328 odds favor Chimaev at -590.
  • Chimaev has won his past three fights against former champions.
  • Strickland’s takedown defense will be the key in this event.

One of the most anticipated matches of the year is upon us, as Khamzat Chimaev and Sean Strickland meet at the Prudential this Saturday.

More UFC previews and picks are available here.

How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, May 9, 9 pm ET
  • Where: Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey
  • How to Watch: Paramount+

Chimaev vs. Strickland Odds

FighterOdds
Chimaev-550
Strickland+420

Chimaev vs. Strickland Preview

Khamzat (15-0, 6 KO) is the No.5 in pound-for-pound rankings, and arguably one of the most popular fighters in the world. He has 12 wins via stoppage, and only three following a decision, though two in the past three events.

Those three bouts were against champions, former or current. He would beat Kamaru Usman via split decision, then Robert Whittaker, whom he broke his jaw, and in the most recent clash, he defeated Dricus du Plessis via unanimous decision to take the title.

Strickland won the title against Adesanya, then lost it to du Plessis via split decision. It was a shady decision, but we can also say that about Tarzan’s next win, which was against Paulo Costa. Also, a split decision. He would face du Plessis again, losing via unanimous decision, before knocking out Anthony Hernandez.

Stickland is a vicious boxer, one of the best in the sport, and his cardio looks good as well. He has one of the best takedown defenses in the division, which could be decisive for this event.

Chimaev vs. Strickland Predictions

The big thing here is that Strickland’s boxing skills might be unused in this one if Khamzat keeps on pressuring for a takedown. We aren’t so sure if Stickland has the agility to rebuff all the attacks Chimaev plans to launch. Tarzan is probably bigger and has a stronger punch, but we aren’t so sure about his lateral movement and reflexes when facing Khamzat.

Topics:

MMA

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