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Expert prediction

Spurs vs. Thunder Game 5 Preview, Odds, Picks (May 26)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • May 25, 2026 at 5:15 PM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Spurs vs. Thunder Game 5 odds favor OKC at -200.
  • San Antonio won Game 4 103-82.
  • OKC made 6 threes in this event.

Coach Gregg Popovich had some words with the Spurs’ team before Game 4, and it seems that helped San Antonio beat the Thunder. But it’s Game 5 now, and the series is in OKC.

Here are more NBA playoff picks.

How to Watch

  • Where: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • When: Tuesday, May 26, 8:30 pm ET
  • How to Watch: NBC, Peacock

Spurs vs. Thunder Game 5 Odds

TeamOddsSpreadTotals
Spurs+165+5.5215.5
Thunder-200-5.5215.5

Game Preview

The Spurs were physical and very aggressive, not allowing the Thunder to find its rhythm. Coach Pop had some words of wisdom with the team before this one, and according to some sources, he was actively involved in making the game plan, which paid off.

Wemby had 33 points and 8 boards with 5 assists. The best rebounder in San Antonio was De’Aaron Fox with 10 boards, and he had 12 points, while Stephon Castle and Devin Vassell both scored 13 points.

OKC was 6-for-33 from downtown, with 17 turnovers committed. It’s no wonder they scored only 82 points. Shai was limited to 19 buckets, with 4 turnovers and 7 assists.

It was obvious from the start that the champs aren’t going to win this event. Their game was soft, lacking its usual intensity, though we have to add that the Spurs didn’t allow them to find their usual rhythm.

Before Betting

  • OKC was 6-for-33 in the previous game.
  • Spurs had 52 boards, OKC 47.
  • Jalen Williams is questionable for Game 5.

Spurs vs. Thunder Game 5 Predictions

The total is 215.5 points. For us, this is UNDER, and here’s why. The hosts will have to reply much more forcefully to the Spurs’ defensive effort, and from this moment on, the series won’t be about scoring as much as about playing defense. Every mistake will have its impact, and defense will be in focus.

Topics:

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