Expert prediction
WNBA: Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Preview, Odds and Predictions (July 9)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- The Fever have been up and down on the road with a 4-5 record so far.
- The Mercury have struggled at home with a 3-7 record to show for it.
- Seattle is third in the East standings, while Phoenix is second-to-last in the West.
The 2026 WNBA season is halfway through as a matchup between the Indiana Fever takes on the Phoenix Mercury on Thursday night. The latter stands out as the slight favorite, paving the way for an intriguing matchup where both teams need winning momentum.
How to Watch
- When: Thursday, July 9, 10 pm ET
- Where: Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, Arizona
- How to Watch: Prime
WNBA Matchup Odds & Lines
| Team | Odds | Spread | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND Fever | -110 | +1 | O170.5 |
| PHO Mercury | -110 | -1 | U170.5 |
Game Preview
The Fever (12-9) have been performing well as one of the best teams in the East, being in the playoff picture. They sit at third place in the conference standings, above the Mystics and Tempo while trailing the Dream and the Liberty. Kelsey Mitchell leads the attack with 22.2 points and 2.7 assists per game, while Caitlin Clark comes next with 20.5 points, 7.9 assists and four rebounds. Meanwhile, Aliyah Boston has been producing 17.1 points and 8.6 rebounds per contest.
The Mercury (8-14) have been up and down throughout their recent stretch of games, going 4-6 in their last 10 contests. They are only above the Storm in the West, needing a win streak to get back on track. Kahleah Copper commands the offense with 20.8 points and 3.8 rebounds per contest. Meanwhile, Alyssa Thomas follows suit with 14.2 points, 8.3 assists, 6.9 rebounds, and 1.6 steals per game.
Fever vs Mercury Predictions
The matchup stands out as a tossup for both teams despite Indiana having the better record. Kahleah Copper and Alyssa Thomas look to have big performances to keep Phoenix in the game, while Kelsey Mitchell and Caitlin Clark counter them with their displays throughout the matchup. Our betting pick here is for the Fever to cover a 1-point spread.
- Free NBA pick: Indiana Fever +1
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