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France vs. Spain – World Cup Semifinals Betting Preview, Team News, and Predictions (Jul 14) 

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Jul 11, 2026 at 12:55 PM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

How to Watch

  • Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
  • When: Tuesday, July 14, 3 pm ET
  • How to Watch: FOX, Telemundo, Peacock

France vs. Spain Odds

Match ResultOdds
France+140
Tie+230
Spain+225

France vs. Spain World Cup Preview

For many, this is the final before the actual one. Two of the most dominant European nations in the past decade square off in Arlington. World Cup odds slightly favor Mbappe and the guys, but remember, Spain is the current European champion.

ALSO SEE: World Cup 2026: Our Experts Share Their World Cup Picks

France Team News & Stats

Morocco looked like a bunch of amateurs against France throughout most of the game. The final result, 2-0, doesn’t reflect the Gauls’ dominance in this event. Mbappe and the boys outplayed their rivals in every single aspect of play.

After 6 matches in this World Cup, France netted two goals in each but one event. On the other hand, since the knockout stage began, Deschamp’s crew kept all three clean sheets. So, their form is on the rise.

Likely Lineup: Maignan; Kounde, Upamecano, Saliba, Digne; Kone, Rabiot; Dembele, Olise, Barcola; Mbappe

Spain Team News & Stats

When talking about strong defense, Spain conceded for the first time in the tournament against Belgium in the quarterfinals. The final result was 2-1, with the Spanish side netting through Merino in the final minutes of the regular time.

Spain’s game plan is pretty much simple. The Red Fury takes possession and dictates the tempo of play, slowly pressuring their rivals and forcing them into mistakes. That’s when the individual quality kicks in and Spain scores.

Likely Lineup: Simon; Porro, Cubarsi, Laporte, Cucurella; Rodri, Pedri; Yamal, Olmo, Baena; Oyarzabal

Head to Head

On its way to the EURO crown in 2024, Spain eliminated France in the semis, with 2-1. After that, they met in the 2025 UEFA Nations League semis, and Spain won 5-4.

France vs. Spain World Cup Predictions

No matter the stakes or the importance of the match, and despite the tactical mastery of both teams, we predict at least three goals in this event. There’s simply too much offensive potential on both ends, for this matchup to end with low efficiency. Yes, both France and Spain have rock-solid defenses, but their recent encounters have brought goals, and this game should too.

Free World Cup Picks: Over 2.5 goals

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