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Expert prediction

MLS: Montreal vs. Toronto FC Preview, Odds, Predictions (Jul 16)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Jul 13, 2026 at 8:08 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Montreal vs. Toronto FC odds favor the host at -105.
  • Toronto didn’t lose to Montreal in the past 4 MLS fixtures.
  • This is the first MLS game following a World Cup pause.

While everyone awaits the World Cup finals, MLS activities resume. The comeback game is in Montreal, where the hosts meet Toronto FC.

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How to Watch

  • When: Thursday, July 16, 7:30 PM ET
  • Where: Saputo Stadium, Montreal, Quebec
  • How to Watch: Apple TV, MLS Season Pass

Montreal vs. Toronto FC Odds

TeamOdds
Montreal-105
Tie+275
Toronto FC+260

Game Preview

The last game Montreal played was against Vancouver FC in the Canadian championship on July 9. They would win that event 1-2, but that’s something completely different from the MLS challenges.

Montreal came into the World Cup pause with three straight games without a win, posting two ties and one loss, and allowing two or more goals in each. Philippe Eullaffroy and his unit have to shape up because they sit outside the playoff zone.

Another reason Montreal has to be aggressive is that Toronto comes to town with the same number of points as its hosts. The pause couldn’t come at a better moment for the FC, who had 8 straight MLS fixtures without a win before the World Cup began.

This team plays super-exciting football, with plenty of goals in each appearance. Know that the last 10 all saw both teams netting, and that 7 saw over 3.5 hits.

Montreal vs. Toronto FC Head to Head

Toronto has not lost to Montreal in the previous 4 MLS matches. The two most recent, from 2025, saw Toronto win in Montreal 1-6 and draw 1-1 at BMO Field.

Montreal vs. Toronto FC Predictions

Even though both teams paused for more than a month, we still don’t expect to see either team rusty or anything like that. Both sides have problematic defenses, yet like to play open-minded soccer, so we pick over 2.5 goals.

Free MLS Pick: Over 2.5 goals

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Soccer

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