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UFC: Ankalaev vs. Guskov Preview, Odds, Predictions (Jul 25)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Jul 19, 2026 at 5:52 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Ankalaev vs. Guskov odds heavily favor Magomed at -400
  • Both guys are elite 205-pounders, with Ankalaev ranked No. 1 and Guskov coming in at No. 10.
  • The bout is the new short-notice main event of UFC Fight Night 282 in Abu Dhabi.

Bogdan Guskov stepped in to replace Khalil Rountree Jr., moving his bout from Belgrade to Abu Dhabi. The Uzbek heavyweight will meet the former light heavyweight champion, Magomed Ankalaev.

More UFC previews and picks are available here.

How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, July 25, 12 PM ET
  • Where: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
  • How to Watch: Paramount+

Ankalaev vs. Guskov Odds

FighterOdds
Ankalaev-260
Guskov+230

Fight Preview

Magomed Ankalaev (21-2-1) was preparing to face Khalil Rountree Jr., but an injury forced Rountree off the card just two weeks before the event. For many, this was supposed to be the title eliminator, which would set up a title bout with the reigning champion, Carlos Ulberg.

Ankalaev is an elite technician in the light heavyweight division, with precise counter-striking and an elite sambo base that make him incredibly difficult to break down. Apart from that, he has a strong dose of discipline, so it’s no wonder he has been one of the best in the division over the past 5 years.

Bogdan “Hitman” Guskov (18-3) earned immense respect from the MMA community by instantly accepting this main event spot when several other ranked fighters declined the short-notice trip to Abu Dhabi.

Guskov is arguably the most explosive guy in the division. The Uzbek boasts 18 career wins with all 18 coming by way of finish, including a staggering 13 in the very first round. Also, 15 of his triumphs came via knockout.

Ankalaev vs. Guskov Predictions

Guskov has the dynamic raw power to turn the lights out on anyone if he connects cleanly. However, Ankalaev is one of the most risk-aware, technically sound counter-strikers in the sport. Also, we strongly believe that Ankalaev has more attacking options than Guskov, which is why we bet on his triumph here.

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MMA

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