Expert prediction
UFC: Medic vs. Rodriguez Preview, Odds, Predictions (Aug 1)
- Nikola Velickovic
- Jul 21, 2026 at 4:09 PM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Medic vs. Rodriguez odds tab Medic as the favorite at -190 to take the main event.
- UFC Belgrade is historic because it’s the first one in Serbia.
- Both fighters are looking to climb into the top 10 in the UFC welterweight rankings.
UFC comes to Serbia for the first time ever. The main event of the night features one of the most attractive welterweight fighters, Uros Medic who will face a tough veteran, Daniel Rodriguez.
Here are more UFC previews and picks.
How to Watch
- When: Saturday, August 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
- Where: Belgrade Arena, Belgrade, Serbia
- How to Watch: Paramount+
Medic vs. Rodriguez Odds
Fight Preview
Uros “The Doctor” Medic (13-3) steps into the biggest moment of his professional career as he gets to headline the UFC’s inaugural event on home soil in Belgrade. Medic is coming in with massive momentum following a spectacular, first-round knockout victory over the veteran Geoff Neal back in February.
Known as one of the most violent and uncompromising starters in the welterweight division, Medic has never reached the final horn inside the octagon. Fighting in front of a home crowd, he will look to unleash his signature blitzing pressure and thunderous left hand early to secure a finish that might even lead him to a title eliminator.
"Houston, we have a problem… AND IT'S ME! I AM THE PROBLEM!"
— UFC on Paramount+ (@UFConParamount) February 22, 2026
Uroš Medić made a statement tonight #UFCHouston
📺 @paramountplus pic.twitter.com/gJVHKSENlV
Daniel “D-Rod” Rodriguez (18-5) makes the dangerous trip to the Balkans aiming to play the ultimate spoiler and quiet the Belgrade Arena. The 39-year-old California veteran is known for his toughness and high-volume boxing stance. Rodriguez enters this showdown riding a three-bout winning streak during which he beat Alex Monroe, Santiago Ponzinibbio and Kevin Holland.
D-Rod is incredibly difficult to put away, possessing elite defensive boxing layers and an iron chin. His game plan will rely on surviving the initial first-round storm and dragging the explosive Serb into deep waters over the five-round distance.
Medic vs. Rodriguez Predictions
This main event represents a classic clash of pacing. If Rodriguez can weather Medic’s initial explosion, his championship-round experience and steady output could turn the tide as the local favorite’s gas tank is tested over 25 minutes. However, Medić’s current speed and devastating accuracy, as he demonstrated in his absolute dismantling of Neal. Also, Rodriguez leaves the States for the second time in his career, and all this will be new to him, especially the crowd and the atmosphere in Belgrade. Therefore, it’s Medic to win.
- Free UFC Picks: Medic via stoppage
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