2026 NFL Most Valuable Player Odds, Analysis & Favorites

• Before Week 7, Bills’ Josh Allen still leads the NFL MVP race at +175.
• 49ers Brock Purdy is second following the Niners’ 6-0 start.
• Patrick Mahomes is +800, while Joe burrow sits at +1100.

Award Context

• Defending Winner: Matthew Stafford (Los Angeles Rams)
• Key Historical Trend: Quarterbacks have claimed 12 of the last 13 NFL MVP awards, with over 85% of modern winners commanding a top-2 seed in their respective conference while generating at least 35 total touchdowns.

2026 NFL Most Valuable Player Opening Odds

Player	Position	Team	Opening Odds
Josh Allen	QB	Buffalo Bills	+175
Brock Purdy	QB	San Francisco 49ers	+250
Patrick Mahomes	QB	Kansas City Chiefs	+850
Trevor Lawrence	QB	Jacksonville Jaguars	+950
Drake Maye	QB	New England Patriots	+1100
Joe Burrow	QB	Cincinnati Bengals	+1500

Josh Allen (+175)

The 2024 NFL MVP is back in Superman mode. Allen is tearing apart the rivals, and his performances are simply unreal. The Bills’ new head coach, Joe Brady, has turned his QB into not only a passer but also a rusher and, from time to time, a receiver in the backfield.

He is 9-4 in TD/Interception ratio with 1,504 passing yards, yet his rushing stats are impressive. Allen has 8 rushing touchdowns, 240 rushing yards, and 22 rushing first downs through the first 6 games of the 2026 NFL season. So he is a FACTOR. The biggest one in the league right now.

Brock Purdy (+250)

Purdy is the leader of the NFL’s best team at the moment. The Niners are 6-0, and he’s the one who navigates the offense, which turns out to be one of the best in the league. He threw for 14 TD passes in the first 6 games, tied for the most in the NFL, and his QBR rating is 83, the best.

We can’t shake the feeling that his team is way too strong, and that he has everything it takes to win games. But many other QBs had super teams and haven’t done anything, so hats off to Purdy right now; he deserves to be an MVP favorite.

Patrick Mahomes (+850)

Mahomes and the boys are still undefeated, and the three-time Super Bowl champ rose to place No.3 in the MVP race. Though, we have to say that even though Mahomes got most credit for the Chiefs’ strong start, he has massive help coming from last year’s champion, RB Kenneth Walker III, currently the top RB in the league.

On the other hand, if Mahomes fails to win this award, the NFL Comeback Player of the Year honors are most definitely going to him. Right now, he is a massive favorite, far ahead of the competition.

Trevor Lawrence (+950) & Drake Maye (+1100)

Trevor Lawrence and Joe Burrow are also on the list among the top 5; though, we would prefer to see Kenneth Walker III there. The latter was magnificent in the opening 6 weeks, pounding his way up through the ranks and establishing himself as one of the most dominant players.

NFL Most Valuable Player Award (MVP)

The NFL Most Valuable Player Award (MVP) is the most prestigious individual honor in professional football, awarded annually by the Associated Press (AP) to the player deemed most outstanding during the regular season.

Presented officially at the annual NFL Honors ceremony, the award traditionally celebrates elite quarterbacks and generational playmakers who lead their franchises to top playoff seeds.

🏆 Eligibility and Voting Criteria

The AP NFL MVP is determined under strict balloting guidelines ahead of the postseason:

• Regular Season Focus: Balloting takes place immediately following the conclusion of the regular season; playoff performances are strictly excluded from consideration.
• Voting Panel: Decided by a nationwide panel of 50 sports journalists, broadcasters, and football experts.
• Ranked-Choice System: Voters fill out a ranked-choice ballot (1st through 5th place), utilizing a weighted point scale (10-5-3-2-1) to select the winner.

🏈 Historical Milestones & Record Holders

• Most Wins (5): Peyton Manning holds the record for the most AP MVP titles in NFL history (2003, 2004, 2008, 2009, 2013).
• Inaugural AP Winner: Jim Brown (1957, Cleveland Browns).
• Non-QB/RB Winners: Only two defensive players have ever won MVP—Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986)—alongside one placekicker, Mark Moseley (1982).
• Unanimous Winners: Tom Brady (2010) and Lamar Jackson (2019) are the only unanimous MVP winners in NFL history.

NFL MVP Winners

Season	Player	Position	Team
2025	Matthew Stafford	QB	Los Angeles Rams
2024	Josh Allen	QB	Buffalo Bills
2023	Lamar Jackson	QB	Baltimore Ravens
2022	Patrick Mahomes	QB	Kansas City Chiefs
2021	Aaron Rodgers	QB	Green Bay Packers
2020	Aaron Rodgers	QB	Green Bay Packers
2019	Lamar Jackson	QB	Baltimore Ravens
2018	Patrick Mahomes	QB	Kansas City Chiefs
2017	Tom Brady	QB	New England Patriots
2016	Matt Ryan	QB	Atlanta Falcons
2015	Cam Newton	QB	Carolina Panthers
2014	Aaron Rodgers	QB	Green Bay Packers
2013	Peyton Manning	QB	Denver Broncos
2012	Adrian Peterson	RB	Minnesota Vikings
2011	Aaron Rodgers	QB	Green Bay Packers
2010	Tom Brady	QB	New England Patriots
2009	Peyton Manning	QB	Indianapolis Colts
2008	Peyton Manning	QB	Indianapolis Colts
2007	Tom Brady	QB	New England Patriots
2006	LaDainian Tomlinson	RB	San Diego Chargers
2005	Shaun Alexander	RB	Seattle Seahawks
2004	Peyton Manning	QB	Indianapolis Colts
2003	Peyton Manning & Steve McNair (Co-MVPs)	QB / QB	Indianapolis Colts / Tennessee Titans
2002	Rich Gannon	QB	Oakland Raiders
2001	Kurt Warner	QB	St. Louis Rams
2000	Marshall Faulk	RB	St. Louis Rams
1999	Kurt Warner	QB	St. Louis Rams
1998	Terrell Davis	RB	Denver Broncos
1997	Brett Favre & Barry Sanders (Co-MVPs)	QB / RB	Green Bay Packers / Detroit Lions
1996	Brett Favre	QB	Green Bay Packers
1995	Brett Favre	QB	Green Bay Packers
1994	Steve Young	QB	San Francisco 49ers
1993	Emmitt Smith	RB	Dallas Cowboys
1992	Steve Young	QB	San Francisco 49ers
1991	Thurman Thomas	RB	Buffalo Bills
1990	Joe Montana	QB	San Francisco 49ers
1989	Joe Montana	QB	San Francisco 49ers
1988	Boomer Esiason	QB	Cincinnati Bengals
1987	John Elway	QB	Denver Broncos
1986	Lawrence Taylor	LB	New York Giants
1985	Marcus Allen	RB	Los Angeles Raiders
1984	Dan Marino	QB	Miami Dolphins
1983	Joe Theismann	QB	Washington Redskins
1982	Mark Moseley	K	Washington Redskins
1981	Ken Anderson	QB	Cincinnati Bengals
1980	Brian Sipe	QB	Cleveland Browns
1979	Earl Campbell	RB	Houston Oilers
1978	Terry Bradshaw	QB	Pittsburgh Steelers
1977	Walter Payton	RB	Chicago Bears
1976	Bert Jones	QB	Baltimore Colts
1975	Fran Tarkenton	QB	Minnesota Vikings
1974	Ken Stabler	QB	Oakland Raiders
1973	O. J. Simpson	RB	Buffalo Bills
1972	Larry Brown	RB	Washington Redskins
1971	Alan Page	DT	Minnesota Vikings
1970	John Brodie	QB	San Francisco 49ers
1969	Roman Gabriel	QB	Los Angeles Rams
1968	Earl Morrall	QB	Baltimore Colts
1967	Johnny Unitas	QB	Baltimore Colts
1966	Bart Starr	QB	Green Bay Packers
1965	Jim Brown	RB	Cleveland Browns
1964	Johnny Unitas	QB	Baltimore Colts
1963	Y. A. Tittle	QB	New York Giants
1962	Jim Taylor	FB	Green Bay Packers
1961	Paul Hornung	HB	Green Bay Packers
1960	Norm Van Brocklin	QB	Philadelphia Eagles
1959	Johnny Unitas	QB	Baltimore Colts
1958	Jim Brown	RB	Cleveland Browns
1957	Jim Brown	RB	Cleveland Browns