2026 AFC South Division Winner Odds

• Houston Texans top the AFC South odds board at +105.
• The Jaguars and the Colts battle for that second spot and an AFC Wild Card seed.
• Tennessee Titans are starting a rebuild with Robert Saleh in charge.

Jacksonville Jaguars prevented the Texans from winning their third straight divisional title. Though, the boys from Houston are the biggest betting favorites to reclaim the AFC South throne according to current NFL odds.

Division Overview & Betting Trends

• Texans rule: Houston Texans have posted 10+ wins in the last three years, reaching the playoffs each time.
• Titans’ struggle: Tennessee was dead last in the division in the previous three campaigns.
• Colts near .500: Indianapolis Colts were 8-9 in the last two years, and 9-8 in 2023.

2026 AFC South Opening Odds

Team	Division Odds	Projected Win Total
Houston Texans	+105	9.5
Jacksonville Jaguars	+220	9.5
Indianapolis Colts	+350	7.5
Tennessee Titans	+800	6.5

Houston Texans (+105)

The Texans open as division favorites after making aggressive offseason investments along the offensive line, bringing in Wyatt Teller and Braden Smith. Powered by quarterback C.J. Stroud and star wideout Nico Collins, Houston boasts high offensive upside. Defensively, the elite edge-rushing tandem of Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter presents a matchup nightmare for opposing offensive lines. Remember, the Texans have limited the rivals to the fewest points.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+220)

The Jaguars enter the campaign as defending division champions after ripping off an impressive 13–4 run under head coach Liam Coen. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence headlines an explosive offense, with himself as the biggest enigma and threat to rivals. Travis Hunter anchors a secondary that locked down opposing passing attacks down the stretch. Not opening as division favorites despite winning 13 games last year gives Jacksonville ideal under-the-radar fuel, and their +220 price represents great value in a tight two-team race.

Indianapolis Colts (+350)

Indianapolis opens as a sleeper option reliant on explosive ground play. Head coach Shane Steichen’s offense runs through All-Pro running back Jonathan Taylor operating behind a re-tooled offensive line. However, trading away tackle Braden Smith raises lingering questions up front, and postseason contention hinges on consistent quarterback play and defensive health. Unless their secondary takes a massive leap, catching Houston and Jacksonville will be a tough task.

Tennessee Titans (+800)

The Titans remain in a transitional phase and open as longshots at +800. Focused on roster evaluation, offensive line retooling, and developing young talent, Tennessee faces a quality gap relative to Houston and Jacksonville. Saleh has plenty to do right now, and we are sure that he doesn’t even think about the top place in the division.

AFC South Division Winners

Season	AFC South Winner	Record
2025	Jacksonville Jaguars	13–4
2024	Houston Texans	10–7
2023	Houston Texans	10–7
2022	Jacksonville Jaguars	9–8
2021	Tennessee Titans	12–5
2020	Tennessee Titans	11–5
2019	Houston Texans	10–6
2018	Houston Texans	11–5
2017	Jacksonville Jaguars	10–6
2016	Houston Texans	9–7
2015	Houston Texans	9–7
2014	Indianapolis Colts	11–5
2013	Indianapolis Colts	11–5
2012	Houston Texans	12–4
2011	Houston Texans	10–6
2010	Indianapolis Colts	10–6
2009	Indianapolis Colts	14–2
2008	Tennessee Titans	13–3
2007	Indianapolis Colts	13–3
2006	Indianapolis Colts	12–4
2005	Indianapolis Colts	14–2
2004	Indianapolis Colts	12–4
2003	Indianapolis Colts	12–4
2002	Tennessee Titans	11–5