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Expert prediction

UFC Paris: Full Main Card Picks, Odds & Props

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Sep 3, 2026 at 6:47 PM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Dan Hooker faces former two-division KSW champion Salahdine Parnasse at UFC Paris.
  • Legendary Michael “Venom” Page will take on Nursulton Ruziboev in the middleweight clash.
  • This is the 5th UFC Paris event.

The UFC returns to the Accor Arena for its fifth annual trip to Paris. The card features 14 fights, but we are focusing on the main card, headlined by lightweight fireworks and top French talent.

Here are the full betting breakdowns, UFC Paris odds, and top picks for the main card lineup.

How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, September 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET Main Card
  • Where: Accor Arena, Paris, France
  • How to Watch: Paramount+, UFC Fight Pass

UFC Paris Main Card Preview

Main Event: Lightweight Division

Dan Hooker (24-14) vs. Salahdine Parnasse (23-2)

FighterOdds
Hooker+400
Parnasse-490
  • Pick: Parnasse via Decision (-110)
  • Why: “The Hangman” Dan Hooker will be remembered as one of the most iconic UFC faces ever. He is still as tough as it can be, but Father Time is catching up to him and recent back-to-back losses are a proof. He faces a debuting superstar in Salahdine Parnasse. The 28-year-old French KSW double-champ brings elite footwork, speed, and sharp counter-striking. Parnasse should use his agility to stick and move, out-landing Hooker from range while avoiding prolonged brawl exchanges inside the pocket.

Co-Main Event: Lightweight Division

Fares Ziam (18-5) vs. Axel Sola (12-1-1)

FighterOdds
Ziam+125
Sola-155
  • Pick: Ziam via Decision (+135)
  • Why: “Smile Killer” Fares Ziam is 2-0 inside Accor Arena and thrives when utilizing long-range teeps and precise straight hands. Sola comes in hot after a first-round submission over Ismael Bonfim, and it seems that his fighting resume is a bit better than Ziam’s, so we pick him to win here.

Middleweight Bout

Michael “Venom” Page (25-3) vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (37-9-2)

FighterOdds
MVP-160
Ruziboev+140
  • Pick: Page
  • Why: Returning to 185 pounds, MVP rides a 3-fight winning streak. And to be honest, Page beating Cannonier was a statement that he isn’t ready for retirement. Ruziboev is a dangerous finisher with massive reach and power, but Page’s blitzing, point-fighting karate stance makes him notoriously difficult to hit cleanly. Also, he is way more experienced, and even though Ruziboev is younger, we pick MVP here.

Welterweight Bout

Daniil Donchenko (14-2) vs. Punahele Soriano (13-4)

FighterOdds
Donchenko-240
Soriano+200
  • Pick: Soriano
  • Why: TUF winner Donchenko is an aggressive pressure striker who leads with high-volume elbows and forward momentum. Soriano has notched four straight wins since moving to welterweight, including a KO against Uros Medic. So he knows how to counter-press hard-hitters. Soriano is bigger than Donchenko, as we used to be a middleweight, so we believe he can handle the Ukrainian’s aggressiveness.

Featherweight Bout

Morgan Charriere (21-12-1) vs. Felipe Lima (14-2)

FighterOdds
Cahrriere+150
Lima-190
  • Pick: Charrière via KO/TKO (+175)
  • Why: “The Last Pirate” Morgan Charrière does his best work in front of his home crowd, where he is 2-0 with two stoppages. Lima is a dynamic wrestler, but Charrière’s explosive hooks and his body strikes will prove decisive if he keeps the fight in the standup. Due to the home support, we go with Charrière.

Featherweight Bout

Losene Keita (16-2) vs. Muhammad Naimov (13-4)

FighterOdds
Keita-360
Naimova+280
  • Pick: Keita
  • Why: Highly regarded prospect Losene Keita seeks his first official Octagon win after dropping a competitive debut to Nathaniel Wood via split decision. Naimov brings experience and durability, but Keita’s speed advantage and explosive combinations will allow him to outwork Naimov over three rounds.
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