Expert prediction
Champions League: Roma vs. Real Madrid Preview, Odds, Predictions (Oct 14)
- Nikola Velickovic
- Oct 12, 2026 at 5:04 AM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Roma vs. Real Madrid odds favor Real at -110.
- Real has locker-room problems.
- Roma has drawn 3 of its last 4 matches.
Jose Mourinho is back in Rome, but now as a Real Madrid head coach. His Los Blancos aren’t playing well, and the home team hopes to pull out an upset in front of 80,000 fans at the Olimpico.
Check out more UCL odds and picks
How to Watch
- When: Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
- Where:Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Italy
- How to Watch: Paramount+, CBS, TNT, DAZN
Roma vs. Real Madrid Odds
Game Preview
Roma played 0-0 in Como, but we have to say that this game deserved at least two goals. Il Lupi played well, had chances, but failed to convert them. This was the third tie in Roma’s last 4 games. Yet, we have to say all of them were againt UCL teams: Fener, Inter, and Como.
Overall, Gasperini and his team play attractive football, especially at home. In three home matches, Roma recorded two wins and a tie, scoring 8 goals and conceding 3. All of the games went Over 2.5 goals.
As for Real, Vinicius keeps drawing negative attention, and his most recent outburst came against Villarreal, when he got sent off. Los Blancos won 1-0, but the chemistry on the field was clearly lacking, and numerous rumors suggest poor locker-room relations.
The defense is fragile, especially away from home, where it conceded in each of the 4 La Liga matches played. Furthermore, Real’s record away from Bernabeu is two wins and losses each.
Roma vs. Real Madrid Head to Head
Real won the last 4 head-to-head meetings against Roma. All of them were in the UCL, in the 2016 and 2018 seasons. Roma failed to score in each of those events, while Real netted 9 goals.
Roma vs. Real Madrid Predictions
Real is in trouble, and that’s obvious. Something is wrong with the team, and time will tell what. Meanwhile, Roma is on the rise, playing courageous but very rational football. With all the struggles Real showed on the road, and Roma’s home efficiency, we are pretty sure that the hosts won’t lose this one.
- Free UCL pick: Double Chance – Roma or Tie
Soccer
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