Expert prediction
UFC 309: Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic Prediction, Odds, and Picks (November 16)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
What’s our Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic prediction? We think “Bones” will win. If he wants to cement his MMA GOAT status, beating a 42-year-old who last fought 1,330 days ago is an absolute must.
We know this, but so do bookmakers. That’s why their UFC 309 odds for Jones winning are -750. In simple terms, this means that in order to make a $100 profit, you need to wager $750.
Looking for a better return on investment? If so, we’ve got some Jones vs. Miocic props you might like. Keep reading to see what we’re talking about.
Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Jon Jones | -650 |
| Stipe Miocic | +450 |
When, Where, and How to Watch?
- Place: Maddison Square Garden, New York City, New York
- Date: Saturday, November 16, 2024
- Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- How to Watch: PPV
Fight Preview
With a career record of 27-1-1, Jon Jones has only one official loss, though that may soon be overturned. His lone defeat was a 2009 disqualification due to illegal elbows, which is expected to be annulled ahead of UFC 309.
The no-contest on his record was initially a KO win over Daniel Cormier, later reversed due to a failed PED test. After ruling the Light Heavyweight division, Jones took a break but returned in 2023 at heavyweight. We saw him make a dominant debut with a first-round guillotine choke against Ciryl Gane.
Stipe Miocic, on the other hand, is now 42 and hasn’t fought since 2021. His last outing ended in a brutal KO loss to Francis Ngannou, and his last win was in 2020, a decision victory over Cormier.
Miocic’s background is a potent mix of wrestling and striking. In his prime, Miocic was a terrifying presence in the Octagon, a man who could go toe-to-toe with any heavyweight on the planet.
But as he faces Jones in 2024, Miocic has the daunting task of stopping a fighter that many consider the greatest of all time. While Miocic’s experience and skills are formidable, the age gap and Jones’s undeniable momentum make him the favorite.
For Jones, this fight is about legacy; for Miocic, it’s one last shot at glory.
Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic Prediction
Jon Jones’ pics on social media show him in fantastic shape. He looks as big as he’s ever been, but unlike ahead of the fight with Gane last year, he doesn’t seem to have any unnecessary weight. Instead, he looks shredded.
He’s ready to go to a dogfight with Stipe, a guy famous for being hard as nails. If Stipe was in his prime, he’d probably go the distance with Jones. But at the age of 42 and a considerable ring rust, he probably won’t survive till the final bell.
Instead, we think Jones will finish him before the end of the third round.
Free Picks:
- Jon Jones & Under 2.5 Rounds
MMA
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