Expert prediction
UFC 292 Preview: Ian Garry vs. Neil Magny Prediction, Odds, and Picks (Aug 19)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Ian Garry is 12-0 and is a huge -400 favorite to add a 13th win to his portfolio.
- “The Future” was originally meant to fight Geoff Neal, but he pulled out due to health issues.
- Neil Magny stepped in on short notice, some two weeks before UFC 292.
Ian Garry vs. Neil Magny is a duel between an undefeated rising star and a welterweight veteran who’s been fighting in the UFC for more than a decade. Who’s going to win? That’s the question we’ll try to answer in this Garry vs. Magny prediction piece.
How to Watch
- When: Saturday, August 19, 2023, at 10:00 p.m ET
- Where: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts
- How to Watch: PPV
Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Ian Garry | |
| Neil Magny |
Fight Preview
Ian Machado Garry (12-0) was meant to fight Geoff Neal at UFC 292, but “Handz of Steel” withdrew due to health reasons less than two weeks before the event. To save the day, Neil Magny (28-10) stepped in as his replacement, even though he fought a three-round bout with Philip Rowe nine weeks ago.
Magny won that fight by a decision (split), which was the 17th time in his career that he defeated someone by points. He also has seven wins by a KO/TKO, although the last time he finished an opponent this way was in 2018. When it comes to submission, Magny has four wins by this method, the most recent of which happened last November when he beat Daniel Rodriguez by D’Arce choke, for which he won the Performance of the Night bonus.
But Rodriguez is nowhere near as good at wrestling/grappling as Magny’s next opponent. Ian Garry has a background in judo, which explains why his takedown defense is 63%. He’s also very good on the floor, the evidence being that every time he got taken down, he was able to defend himself.
READ ALSO: UFC 292 Preview: Aljamain Sterling vs. Sean O’Malley Prediction, Odds, and Picks (Aug 19)
“The Future” is using his wrestling/grappling skills primarily for defense and it’s striking that’s his most dangerous offensive weapon. The Irishman lands 6.85 significant strikes per minute, which is the third-best average among active welterweights in the UFC.
Ian Garry vs. Neil Magny Prediction
Not only is Ian Garry a better fighter than Neil Magny but he’s spent way more time preparing for UFC 292. We expect him to get in the Octagon on Saturday and finish his opponent. Two-thirds of his fights ended before the final bell, and we think the same will be the case with the August 19 fight.
Free Pick:
MMA
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