Expert prediction
UFC 309: Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler 2 Prediction, Odds, and Picks (November 16)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
Our Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler 2 prediction is that the fight on November 16 will be even more exciting than their first duel. As a reminder, Oliveira won their first fight by a TKO. Can he do something similar again or will Chandler exact his revenge?
Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler 2 Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Charles Oliveira | -255 |
| Michael Chandler | +215 |
When, Where, and How to Watch?
- Place: Maddison Square Garden, New York City, New York
- Date: Saturday, November 16, 2024
- Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- How to Watch: PPV
Fight Preview
The UFC 309 co-main event is guaranteed to deliver fireworks. Both fighters are in their mid-to-late 30s, so this is practically their last chance to get back into the UFC spotlight. The winner will stay in the conversation for the lightweight title in the future. The loser? It might be game over for them.
Given the importance of this fight, our prediction is that this is going to be a real banger. Oliveira, known for his world-class grappling, holds the UFC record for submission wins (16). He may aim to make it 17, especially given Chandler’s struggles on the ground. When they first clashed, Oliveira won by TKO, but this time “Do Bronx” could go for a submission finish to secure a quick victory.
Oliveira recently lost to Arman Tsarukyan by a split decision, but he’s still ranked high in the lightweight division. His grappling advantage is likely to give him the edge, especially if he can control the fight on the mat.
On the other side, Chandler is famous for being a very tough guy. Plus, based on training footage he shared on social media, he seems to be in the best shape of his life.
READ ALSO: UFC 309: Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic Prediction, Odds, and Picks (November 16)
Same as Oliveira, he too has a very good record. He’s 23-8 but has struggled against top-tier UFC competition, including his last fight, a submission loss to Dustin Poirier in 2022. At the age of 38, Chandler’s athleticism remains impressive, and he’s in top shape for this bout. However, if Oliveira takes the fight to the ground, Chandler’s weakness in grappling might be exposed again.
Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler 2 Prediction
Anything can happen in this fight, but we think that the most plausible scenario is Oliveira winning again. This time, however, we suspect he might win by his most deadly weapon – submission.
Free Pick:
- Charles Oliveira by Submission
MMA
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