Expert prediction
UFC 313: Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev Preview, Odds, Prediction
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev odds favor Fiziev to win the UFC 313 co-main event.
- Gaethje won their first duel, but he’s coming off a bad KO loss to Max Holloway.
- Fiziev hasn’t fought since 2023 when he suffered a nasty knee injury.
Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev is the co-main event of UFC 313 and the same as their first clash – which won the Fight of the Night bonus – this one should be a real banger too. But who’s going to win?
Gaethje vs. Fiziev odds favor “Ataman” but we’re not so sure about that. Keep reading to see why we think “The Highlight” can stage an upset on March 8 in Vegas.
How to Watch
- Where: T-Mobile Arena in Vegas
- When: Saturday, March 8, 10 pm ET
- How to Watch: PPV
Gaethje vs. Fiziev Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Justin Gaethje | +140 |
| Rafael Fiziev | -160 |
Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev Preview
Justin Gaethje’s UFC 313 odds are +140, which seems crazy given the circumstances. He’s had a full camp, while Rafael Fiziev is stepping in on just 10 days’ notice.
Gaethje also won their first fight, a three-round war that earned Fight of the Night honors. It was a close fight, but this time around, Fiziev’s preparation is a major red flag.
The thing is that Fiziev hasn’t fought since September 2023, when he suffered a knee injury against Mateusz Gamrot.
Now, he’s flying in from Thailand – which is 8,000 miles away from Veas – and likely facing a tough weight cut.
READ ALSO: UFC 313: Alex Pereira vs. Magomed Ankalaev Preview, Odds, Prediction
To make things worse, it’s Ramadan and he’s a devout Muslim, meaning that he’s fasting during daylight hours. To put it mildly, this isn’t ideal for training, recovery, or a last-minute weight cut.
Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev Prediction
The reason why Gaethje is the UFC 313 underdog is that he got put to sleep by Max Holloway in his most recent fight.
It was a nasty KO, but we think he can bounce back. He’d struggle against full-camp Dan Hooker, but against out-of-shape Fiziev, we think he’ll do just fine.
Free Pick:
- Justin Gaethje
MMA
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