Expert prediction
UFC 317: Viviane Araújo vs. Tracy Cortez Preview, Odds, Prediction (Jun 28)
- Annie Adkins
- Jun 23, 2025 at 11:05 AM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Viviane Araújo vs. Tracy Cortez is one of the hottest matchups on the UFC 317 preliminary card.
- Araújo vs. Cortez UFC 317 odds favor Tracy, but our pick is Viviane.
The only women’s MMA bout at UFC 317 features a gritty Flyweight clash between Viviane Araújo and Tracy Cortez. The prelim bout goes down on Saturday, June 28, inside T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, with action starting in the afternoon. Odds favor Cortez, but don’t be too quick to count Vivi out. She’s a 38-year-old veteran who’s looking for one last dance.
How to Watch
- Where: T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada
- When: Saturday, June 28, 9 pm ET
- How to Watch: PPV
Araújo vs. Cortez Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Viviane Araújo | +210 |
| Tracy Cortez | -250 |
Viviane Araújo vs. Tracy Cortez Preview
Tracy Cortez walks in as the favorite, but this one’s far from a lock. She’s coming off a tough 5-round loss to Thug Rose. She didn’t get finished, but Tracy got really beaten up – Namajunas landed almost 2x strikes as her and made five takedowns.
That was Tracy’s first loss since her very first professional fight, which she lost by decision. As a result, she’s now 11-2 overall. What’s interesting is that nine of those wins happened by decision, including all five UFC fights she’s won so far.
Viviane Araújo vs Tracy Cortez women’s flyweight bout is booked for #UFC317 on June 28th in Las Vegas.
— MMA UNCENSORED (@MMAUNCENSORED1) May 5, 2025
(Via: @BigMarcel24) #UFC #MMA pic.twitter.com/8RbhuP73BC
Viviane Araújo is a much more dangerous finisher. She’s 13-6 with seven finishes. That’s actually a fantastic resume given that she’s been through real wars in the Octagon. She’s fought Alexa Grasso, Amanda Ribas, and many other elite opponents who were in their prime at the time.
READ ALSO: UFC 317: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Kara-France Preview, Odds, Prediction (Jun 28)
Five of her six losses came via decision; She’s never been finished in the UFC, with her only TKO loss happening in a local Brazilian promotion back in 2017.
Vivi hits at a decent clip – 4.04 significant strikes per minute – and has an 80% takedown defense rate.
Araújo vs. Cortez Prediction
Both women love going the distance, and this one’s no different. But if Cortez can’t control the tempo or keep it standing, she’s in trouble. Vivi’s experience and pressure might just be enough to edge her out on the cards.
Free Pick:
- Viviane Araújo by decision.
MMA
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