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Expert prediction

UFC Fight Night 285: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues Preview, Odds, Picks (Aug 22)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Aug 20, 2026 at 11:15 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Hernandez vs. Rodrigues odds favor Hernandez at -175.
  • Rodrigues has 6 wins in the past 7 bouts.
  • Hernandez lost to Sean Strickland in his last fight.

The middleweight clash that highlights UFC Fight Night 285 features two fighters who are searching for their ticket to the title fight. Hernandez was awfully close, though the loss to Strickland was a setback. Meanwhile, Rodrigues is surging in the rankings, and a win here could propel him into the top 5.

UFC Fight Night 285 Preview

  • When: Saturday, August 22, 2026, 10 PM ET
  • Where: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, California
  • How to Watch: Paramount+

UFC Fight Night 285 Odds

FighterOdds
Hernandez-175
Rodrigues+140

Fight Preview

After 8 wins in a row, Anthony Hernandez (15-3 1 NC) lost one bout. It was against the current champion, Sean Strickland, who knocked him out in the 3rd round. This was Hernandez’s first loss since 2020 and his defeat vs. Kevin Holland.

Fluffy, which is his nickname, utilizes close battles, preferably in a clinch where he tries to pressure the rival to the cage and use plenty of dirty boxing before taking the action down to the mat. After that, he usually finishes the business via submission, and he has 9 wins that way.

Gregory Rodrigues (19-6) has a solid CV lately. Apart from losing to Jarod Cannonier in February 2025, this guy won 6 battles. His victims were Brad Tavares, Christian Leroy Duncan, Jack Hermansson, and Roman Kopylov. Not bad at all, we need to add.

Unlike Hernandez, Rodrigues has a completely different fighting style. He also uses high pace to attack his rivals, but is far more powerful in the stand-up. Rodrigues has vicious KO power, and it is no wonder he won 12 of his bouts via knockout. He too is a solid grappler, holding a Jiu-Jitsu black belt, but stand-up is his preferred fighting ground.

Hernandez vs Rodrgiues Predictions

Neither of these two guys likes going to the distance, and just a small portion of their battles ended after the final horn. Also, this is a main event, meaning there will be 5 rounds involved. Since we aren’t into picking the winner, because this one can go either way, our pick for this battle would be the fight not going the distance.

Topics:

MMA

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