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Expert prediction

UFC London: Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos Ulberg Preview, Odds, Prediction

  • Annie Adkins
  • Mar 19, 2025 at 12:12 PM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos Ulberg is the co-main event of UFC London.
  • Betting odds favor Ulberg to win in London.
  • Can the former champ upset the odds on March 22?

Fourth-two-year-old former UFC Light Heavyweight Champion Jan Blachowicz is locking horns with rising star Carlos Ulberg who’s eight years his junior.

Ulberg is looking for his eighth win in a row and based on the fact that his UFC London odds are -303, bookies think he’s going to win on March 22.

What do we think? Keep reading this Blachowicz vs. Ulberg UFC London preview to find out!


How to Watch

  • Where: The O2 Arena in London, England
  • When: Saturday, March 22, 4 pm ET
  • How to Watch: ESPN+

Blachowicz vs. Ulberg Odds

FighterOdds
Jan Blachowicz+253
Carlos Ulberg-303

Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos Ulberg Fight Preview

Given that he’s already 42, it’s fair to say that Jan Blachowicz is running out of time. Nevertheless, he’s still highly regarded in the UFC, the evidence being that he’s ranked No. 3 in the UFC Light Heavyweight Division.

This may seem strange as he’s been without a win since 2022. However, there’s an explanation. In his most recent fight, we saw him losing to Alex Pereira by a split decision (in 2023).

A year earlier, he fought the current champ, Magomed Ankalaev, in 2022, and their fight ended in a split draw – this makes him the only opponent since 2018 to avoid a loss against Ankalaev.

Now, he’s supposed to fight Carlos Ulberg, who’s 11-1 in MMA, 19-2 in kickboxing, and 11-0 in boxing. He’s a striking machine, landing 7.20 significant strikes per minute – the highest average in the division.

He also has solid takedown defense (83%) and lands 0.72 takedowns per 15 minutes. Ulberg’s numbers are impressive, but he hasn’t faced someone of Blachowicz’s caliber.

His toughest UFC fight was against Volkan Oezdemir last year, winning by decision with 98 significant strikes – just two more than his opponent.


Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos Ulberg Prediction

The UFC London co-main event is Carlos Ulberg’s chance to show that he’s ready to take his fighting to the next level. If he beats Jan Blachowicz, he’ll show Dana White & Co. that he deserves to be in the conversation for the title.

READ ALSO: UFC London: Leon Edwards vs. Sean Brady Preview, Odds, Prediction

So, does he have what it takes to pull it off? We think he does, especially given that he’s in his prime right now – Jan Blachowicz is not.

Free Pick:

  • Carlos Ulberg

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