Expert prediction
UFC Mexico: Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Vince Morales Preview, Odds, Prediction
- Annie Adkins
- Mar 25, 2025 at 6:17 AM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Raul Rosas Jr. is a huge favorite against Vince Morales with UFC Mexico odds of -375.
- Rosas Jr. is turning into a real UFC star despite being just 20 years old.
- Morales is tough, but is he tough enough to derail the Rosas hype train?
Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Vince Morales is one of the hottest matchups on the UFC Mexico fight card. Both fighters are known for spectacular finishes, so we might see another fight worthy of a Performance of the Night bonus. To see what we predict in the Rosas vs. Morales fight, just keep on reading!
How to Watch
- Where: Arena CDMX in Mexico City, Mexico
- When: Saturday, March 29, 10 pm ET
- How to Watch: ESPN+
Rosas vs. Morales Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Raul Rosas Jr. | -375 |
| Vince Morales | +310 |
Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Vince Morales Preview
Raul Rosas Jr. (10-1) is just 20 years old but he’s already a UFC star. His only loss came by decision in 2023, but he bounced back with three straight wins.
Two of those were finishes – a TKO over Terrence Mitchell and a submission against Ricky Turcios – for each of which he got a Performance of the Night bonus.
The submission win wasn’t surprising as Rosas Jr. thrives on elite Brazilian jiu-jitsu and an aggressive takedown game (averaging 4+ takedowns per 15 minutes). The TKO win on the other hand, was somewhat surprising as UFC fans weren’t aware that he’s also a hell of s striker.
His biggest weakness is experience, something which his UFC Mexico opponent Vince Morales has in abundance. Morales (16-9) is a well-rounded fighter with solid takedown defense.
READ ALSO: UFC Mexico: Brandon Moreno vs. Steve Erceg Preview, Odds, Prediction
He’s still in his early 30s, but his recent form suggests his UFC future isn’t very bright. He’s 0-2 since returning to Dana White’s promotion, where he fought a few years back and had a 3-5 record.
What we saw from his UFC fights is that he struggles against leg kicks and striking pressure, which are two areas Rosas Jr. is almost certainly going to try to exploit.
Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Vince Morales Prediction
The UFC is clearly invested in building Rosas Jr. into a superstar, and this is another favorable matchup. To put it simply, Rosas is better than Morales. Sure, Morales is tough with plenty of experience, but we just can’t see him stopping the rise of the Mexican young gun.
Free Pick:
- Raul Rosas Jr.
MMA
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