Expert prediction
UFC Vegas 105: Josh Emmett vs. Lerone Murphy Preview, Odds, Prediction
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Josh Emmett vs. Lerone Murphy is the main event of UFC Vegas 105.
- Bookmakers favor Lerone Murphy with UFC odds of -330.
- Our prediction is that the fight will be much more interesting than what the odds suggest.
Josh Emmett vs. Lerone Murphy is shaping up to be a war, and it wouldn’t be surprising if it takes Fight of the Night honors. Both fighters bring serious firepower, and both are famous for never giving up.
Our prediction is that this is going to be a real dogfight, but who’s going to win? Keep reading to find out!
How to Watch
- Where: UFC Apex in Las Vegas
- When: Saturday, April 5, 10 pm ET
- How to Watch: ESPN+
Emmett vs. Murphy Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Josh Emmett | +270 |
| Lerone Murphy | -330 |
Josh Emmett vs. Lerone Murphy Preview
UFC Vegas 105 odds suggest Josh Emmett (19-4) will probably lose on April 5. He’s priced at +200, but something similar was the case in his previous fight.
He was a +225 underdog against Bryce Mitchell but silenced the doubters with a brutal first-round knockout. That KO left Mitchell convulsing on the canvas, proving Emmett’s power is still a serious threat.
The probable reason why he’s an underdog again is that he’s already 40, so bookmakers probably doubt his longevity.
Plus, before beating Mitchell, he was on a two-fight skid. He lost to Yair Rodriguez (for the interim featherweight title) and Ilia Topuria in a Fight of the Night bout.
A highlight-reel KO could put him back in the title picture, but getting past Lerone Murphy is a different challenge. Murphy has yet to taste defeat inside the cage.
Murphy is 15-0-1, with his only draw coming in his UFC debut. Some argue he hasn’t faced elite competition. In fact, his biggest wins were those in his last two fights – against Dan Ige and Edson Barboza.
Against Barboza, he landed 220 significant strikes while absorbing just 79, showing that he’s an elite striker. In his fight with Ige, Murphy showed that he’s tough as nails – he was knocked down early but fought back for a decision win.
Josh Emmett vs. Lerone Murphy Prediction
We did great with our UFC picks last weekend. Our predictions came true – Raul Rosas Jr. beat Vince Morales (-375) and Brandon Moreno beat Steve Erceg (-185).
We backed huge favorites, and they won. This time around, we’re backing the underdog. We think the +270 underdog Josh Emmett will beat the -330 favorite Lerone Murphy.
Free Pick:
- Josh Emmett
MMA
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