Expert prediction
UFC Vegas 106: Paul Craig vs. Rodolfo Bellato Preview, Odds, Prediction
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Paul Craig vs. Rodolfo Bellato is the co-main event of UFC Vegas 106.
- Paul Craig lost each of his last three fights.
- Rodolfo Bellato’s odds suggest he’s going to win on May 17.
Paul Craig vs. Rodolfo Bellato odds suggest Bellato will run through Craig on May 17 in Vegas. He’s a -500 favorite to inflict the Scotsman his fourth loss in a row.
However, Craig is famous for being a giant-slayer. The best example is that he once defeated Magomed Ankalaev despite being priced at +500. Can something similar happen at UFC Vegas 106? Let’s find out!
How to Watch
- Where: UFC Apex in Vegas
- When: Saturday, May 17, 10 pm ET
- How to Watch: ESPN+
Paul Craig vs. Rodolfo Bellato Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Paul Craig | +375 |
| Rodolfo Bellato | -500 |
Paul Craig vs. Rodolfo Bellato Preview
Paul Craig is nearing the end of his UFC run. In fact, the UFC Vegas 106 co-main event could be his final fight in this promotion. The thing is that the 37-year-old is 1-5 in his last six fights, so another defeat could spell the end of his time in the promotion.
On the bright side for Craig and his fans, all of his recent losses happened against top-level names – Bo Nickal, Caio Borralho, Brendan Allen, Johnny Walker, and Volkan Oezdemir. His lone win in the last five came via TKO against Andre Muniz in his middleweight debut, but that’s not enough to overshadow the slide.
Meanwhile, Rodolfo Bellato is 12-2-1 and 1-0 in the UFC. He impressed on Dana White’s Contender Series and made a statement in his debut with a TKO win over Ihor Potieria. In fact, he’s finished nearly 70% of his fights by KO/TKO.
Paul Craig vs. Rodolfo Bellato Prediction
Bellato is a powerful striker who doesn’t mind taking it to the ground if needed. He’s aggressive, throws with intent, and has the tools to shut Craig down early. While Craig is more dangerous in clinch situations and on the mat with his submission game, Bellato is expected to avoid those spots and use his striking at range.
Free Pick:
- Rodolho Bellato
MMA
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