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UFC Vegas 99: Anthony Hernandez vs. Michel Pereira Prediction, Odds, and Picks (October 19)

  • Annie Adkins
  • Oct 14, 2024 at 9:12 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

Anthony Hernandez vs. Michel Pereira is the main event of UFC Vegas 99. We know fans aren’t too keen on APEX events, but for bettors, the Hernandez vs. Pereira fight on October 19 should be a delight.

The No. 1 reason is that the UFC Vegas 99 odds are pretty close, with Hernandez being a -140 favorite. Meanwhile, Pereira’s odds are +120 at the moment of writing.  


Anthony Hernandez vs. Michel Pereira Odds

FighterOdds
Anthony Hernandez-140
Michel Pereira+120

When, Where, and How to Watch?

  • Place: APEX in Vegas
  • Date: Saturday, October 19, 2024
  • Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
  • How to Watch: ESPN+

Fight Preview

Anthony Hernandez (12-2-1) a.k.a. Fluffy has turned into a real takedown expert. In five of the six UFC fights that he won, he landed at least 3 takedowns. Actually, in those five fights, he made a total of 31 TDs.  

How will Michael Pereira (31-11-2) cope with this? Well, “Demolidor” has a takedown defense of 94%. In fact, he’s only suffered one takedown since coming to the UFC in 2019.

He also hasn’t landed a single TD in almost three years. This is no surprise as he prefers fighting upright. Boxing is his strongest suit – he lands 5.16 significant strikes per minute, which is 10th best in the middleweight division right now.


Anthony Hernandez vs. Michel Pereira Prediction

Anthony Hernandez’s got a reputation as a fantastic wrestler, but takedowns aren’t his only specialty. He’s also an excellent striker who can go to war with Pereira. The bad news for him is that Pereira too is very well-rounded. The result is that the UFC Vegas 99 headliner is bound to be a real thriller.

So, who do we predict will win in the end? It’s really a coin toss, but if we absolutely had to pick one, we’d go with Pereira.

Free Pick:

  • Michael Pereira

MMA

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