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Expert prediction

Celtics vs Heat Odds, and Picks (Game 4)

  • Keith McCarthy
  • May 22, 2023 at 9:13 PM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • The Celtics were embarrassed in Game 3, losing 128-102.
  • Miami is a win away from sweeping their way into the Finals.
  • The Heat are now 5-2 on the season as a whole against Boston.

The Celtics (65-33) and the Heat (55-41) face off in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Miami has been in full control during this series, and is closing in on their 2nd Finals appearance in the last 4 years.


How to Watch

  • TNT

Preview

Boston was thoroughly beaten by Miami on Sunday. They trailed by about 30 points for the majority of the game, never once having a real shot of winning. After falling down 3-0 in the series, the Celtics need an absolute miracle to stay alive. With Game 5 in Boston, a win in Game 4 provides a realistic chance to force Game 6 and beyond, but an even more realistic scenario would see the Celtics heading home in Game 4.

The Heat continue to dominate this postseason, earning another stellar win over Boston, going up 3-0 in the series. Surprisingly, the Heat had more trouble with the Knicks than the Bucks or Celtics, and still won the series with ease. It’s hard to imagine a team in the East hanging with Miami right now, but the equally dominant Denver Nuggets could provide a real test in the Finals. The Heat can close this series out here.


Picks

It’s really, really difficult to bet on a team completing a sweep, especially this far into the postseason. It very rarely occurs, with many 3-0 series eventually going into Game 5 or Game 6. I would keep that in mind when betting on this game. That being said, Miami has been far and away the best team in this series, and a dejected Boston is unlikely to put up much of a fight. I see the Heat completing the sweep.

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