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Expert prediction

NBA: Heat vs Knicks 2nd Round Series Odds, and Picks

  • Keith McCarthy
  • Apr 28, 2023 at 6:49 PM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • The Heat stunned the top-seeded Bucks, winning the series 4-1.
  • New York won their series 4-1 against the Cavs, dominating them.
  • These two teams last met on March 29, in a game that the Knicks won 101-92.

The Knicks (51-36) and the Heat (48-39) face off in a classic rivalry matchup. Both teams won in the first round as the lower seed and underdog, and will look to ride their stellar defenses to another series victory.

Jump to:


Series Schedule

GAME 1

  • When: Sunday, April 30, 2023, at 1 p.m ET
  • Where: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
  • How to Watch: ABC

GAME 2

  • When: Tuesday, May 2, 2023, at TBD
  • Where: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
  • How to Watch: TNT

GAME 3

  • When: Saturday, May 6, 2023, at TBD
  • Where: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
  • How to Watch: ABC

GAME 4

  • When: Monday, May 8, 2023, at 7:30 p.m ET
  • Where: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
  • How to Watch: TNT

GAME 5 (if necessary)

  • When: Wednesday, May 10, 2023, at TBD
  • Where: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
  • How to Watch: TNT

GAME 6 (if necessary)

  • When: Friday, May 12, 2023, at TBD
  • Where: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
  • How to Watch: ESPN

GAME 7 (if necessary)

  • When: Monday, May 15, 2023, at 8 p.m ET
  • Where: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
  • How to Watch: TNT

Odds

TeamOdds
Heat
Knicks

Series Preview

Miami completed a thrilling win over the Bucks in Game 5, after forcing overtime on a last second shot by Jimmy Butler. The Heat became the fifth 8-seed in NBA history to upset a conference’s top-seeded team, and the first to do it in just 5 out of 7 games. They’ll face another rising team in the Knicks up next, aiming to once again ride Jimmy Butler to a series victory, despite being the lower seed. Their defense will be key.

The Knicks completed their series in 5-games as well, dominating the dangerous Cavaliers. Center Mitchell Robinson out-rebounded Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen consistently, giving New York a major advantage in addition to their depth. They did a great job of keeping Donovan Mitchell in check, and will face another tough test against a scorching-hot Jimmy Butler. The Knicks will be relying on their depth.


Picks

The Knicks closed out the 2nd half of Game 5 against the Cavs without two starters, Quentin Grimes and Julius Randle. The status of those two, especially Randle, will make a major impact on this series. It’s unlikely that Randle will be 100%, but I also doubt he sits out entirely. Jimmy Butler has been playing fantastic basketball, but with Herro already out, the Heat lack depth. The Knicks will take full advantage.

Moneyline:

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