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Expert prediction

NBA Play-In: Dallas Mavericks vs. Memphis Grizzlies Preview, Odds, Predictions, Picks (Apr 18)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Apr 17, 2025 at 6:10 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Mavericks vs. Grizzlies spread favors Memphis by 6.5 points.
  • Dallas Mavericks were better than the Sacramento Kings on the road, 120-106.
  • Memphis Grizzlies have lost to the Golden State Warriors, 121-116.

No.8 seed in the West will be resolved following this event. Mavericks are +215 underdogs, but they weren’t favored by the odds against the Kings as well, yet came out on top.

Check out: NBA Play-In: Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks Preview, Odds, Predictions, Picks (Apr 18)

How to Watch

  • When: Friday, April 18, 9:30 pm ET
  • Where: FedEx Forum, Memphis, Tennessee
  • How to Watch: ESPN

NBA Odds & Lines

TeamOddsSpreadTotals
Mavericks+215+6.5221.5
Grizzlies-260-6.5221.5

Game Preview

Anthony Davis was so dominant against Dabonis and Valanciunas, making the Kings’ centers inferior in every possible aspect of the game. AD had 27 points with 9 boards, limiting Sabonis and Valanciunas to just 15 combined.

A few years ago Klay Thompson had 0 points against the Kings in the play-in, and in this event, he racked up 23, hitting five threes.

Morant and the Grizzlies fought bravely against the Warriors, but they lost 121-116 in the end. This was a close one because the entire last quarter was pretty close.

Desmond Bane scored 30 points, Morant 22, and Zach Edey had 14 with 17 boards. Though, Jimmy Butler and Steph Curry killed the Grizzlies with 38 and 37 points respectively.

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Head to Head

The Grizzlies have won 3 of this season’s 4 games. The most recent was on April 12, when they smashed the shorthanded Mavs at the FedEx 132-97.

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Predictions

Grizzlies are a better team. They narrowly lost to the Warriors on the road and now play at home, where they have a 26-15 record this year. Also, when it comes to fatigue, they recover much better, not only because they play at home and have a day more in this case, but because the Mavericks are an injury-prone unit.

  • Free NBA pick: Memphis Grizzlies win

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