Skip to content

Expert prediction

NBA Play-In: Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings Preview, Odds, Predictions, Picks (Apr 16)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Apr 16, 2025 at 4:15 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Mavericks vs. Kings odds favor Sacramento, -190.
  • Dallas Mavericks lost 4 of the last 5 games.
  • In 9 of the Sacramento Kings’ last 13 games, TOTAL went UNDER.

The 10th and 9th seeds in the West battle to see who continues to push for the playoff spot. The Kings are favorites, with the NBA moneyline on their win at -190.

Check out: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers Game 1 Preview, Odds, Predictions, Picks (Apr 19)

How to Watch

  • When: Wednesday, April 16, 10 pm ET
  • Where: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, California
  • How to Watch: ESPN

NBA Odds & Lines

TeamOddsSpreadTotals
Mavericks+160+4.5215.5
Kings-190-4.5215.5

Game Preview

The Mavericks closed the season pretty badly, losing 4 of the last 5 games. This isn’t what they hoped for, but on the other hand, when we see all the injuries and that Kyrie isn’t playing, it’s kinda expected.

Over the previous 10 games, Dallas won 4. When looking at road events during this stretch, the Mavs had 6, and they managed to win just twice.

Sacramento Kings beat the Phoenix Suns in the last game of the year, 109-96, erasing two close defeats in the games prior to that one: 101-100 vs. Clippers and 124-116 vs. Nuggets.

Lithuanian duo under the rin, Sabonis, and Valanciunas, dominated, scoring 42 points and grabbing 22 boards combined. Valanciunas had 10-for-11 shooting from the field.

Mavericks vs. Kings Betting Trends

  • Dallas Mavericks are 1-6 AGAINST THE SPREAD in the last 7 games.
  • Mavericks are 1-5 STRAIGHT UP in the previous 5 games overall.
  • In 9 of Sacramento’s last 13 games, the TOTAL went UNDER.
  • Sacramento is 12-1 STRAIGHT UP in the last 13 games against the opponents from the Southwestern division.

Mavericks vs. Kings Head to Head

In 7 of the last 8 H2H meetings between the Mavs and the Kings, TOTAL went UNDER.

Sacramento won all three games this year, two of them were in Dallas.

Mavericks vs. Kings Predictions

Kings are our pick here. They are in better form, play at home, and have a huge advantage under the rim. Plus, they are way healthier than the Mavs, who have several players struggling with minor injuries.

  • Free NBA picks: Sacramento Kings win

NBA

More Predictions

NBA Insight

Free NBA Picks Today: LeBron Comes Back Home, Blazers vs. Lakers Going Over (Nov 6)

There’s plenty of action across basketball arenas all over the United States, and we are here to deliver the best NBA picks for today, some straight up and some against the spread. NBA Cup is on the menu this Friday, with 9 games tipping off tonight. Free NBA Moneyline Pick: Celtics -345 Best Over/Under Pick: […]

Nikola Velickovic 2 min read

NBA Insight

NBA Expert Picks Today: Warriors ATS Against Tired Heat, Suns Beating the Magic

After an action-packed Wednesday where almost the entire league played, this NBA daily picks and predictions session will be light. There are only two games on the menu: the Suns host the Magic, and the Warriors welcome Giannis and the Miami Heat. After reading our picks for today, check out the latest NBA odds here. […]

Nikola Velickovic 2 min read

NBA Insight

NBA Expert Picks Today: Nets After Win No.1, Lakers and Luka Hosting the Raptors

Sunday’s NBA slate has only 4 games, but for those who love betting on basketball, that is more than enough to find profitable picks. Both LA teams are involved: Clippers against the Warriors, and the Lakers vs. Toronto, while the Boston Celtics meet the Orlando Magic in Florida. Nets are searching for their first win […]

Nikola Velickovic 3 min read

NBA Insight

NBA Expert Picks Today: Grizzlies Cover the Spread, Over in New Orleans

There are 7 hoop games this Saturday, October 31, and we’ve selected three NBA expert picks for our followers. Even though it generates the most attention, we didn’t pick the Thunder vs. Rockets game because we don’t want to expose bettors to any risk. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies look unstoppable as they face the sorry Kings, […]

Nikola Velickovic 3 min read

NBA Insight

Cavaliers vs Hawks Prediction: Back the Over in a Fast-Paced Matchup in Atlanta

NBA best bet of the day: Over 239.5 (-110) Bet Cavaliers vs Hawks at BetUS Both the Cavaliers and Hawks played last night, but neither team can use that as an excuse here. Cleveland arrives in Atlanta in great shape on a three-game winning streak, while the Hawks have hit a rough patch after a […]

Nikola Velickovic 2 min read