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Expert prediction

NBA Play-In: Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks Preview, Odds, Predictions, Picks (Apr 18)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Apr 17, 2025 at 6:09 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Heat vs. Hawks play-in game decides the No.8 seed in the East.
  • Miami was better than the Chicago Bulls, 109-90.
  • Meanwhile, the Hawks lost to the Magic, 120-95.

The last playoff spot in the East is at stake as the Heat and Hawks clash in Georgia. Apart from seeing excellent basketball, this is a chance for some NBA betting.

Check out: NBA Play-In: Dallas Mavericks vs. Memphis Grizzlies Preview, Odds, Predictions, Picks (Apr 18 

How to Watch

  • When: Friday, April 18, 7 pm ET
  • Where: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to Watch: TNT

NBA Odds & Lines

TeamOddsSpreadTotals
Heat-110-1.5218.5
Hawks-105+1.5218.5

Game Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Bulls in Chicago, 109-90, with Tyler Herro leading the way. Herro ended the night with 38 points, shooting 13-for-19 from the field, and racking up 5 boards.

Andrew Wiggins had 20 points and 9 boards, doing a huge job on the defensive side, protecting the rim and slowing down the Bulls’ offense.

The Hawks felt Orlando’s playoff power losing in Florida 120-95. This was nowhere near a competitive event because the Hawks couldn’t compete with the hosts.

They need more from Trae and the boys, otherwise, this will be yet another year without the Hawks in the playoffs.

Heat vs. Hawks Betting Trends

  • TOTAL went OVER in 5 of the Miami Heat’s last 6 games.
  • Miami Heat is 11-4 AGAINST THE SPREAD in the previous 15 NBA games.
  • TOTAL went OVER in 11 of the Atlanta Hawks’ last 16 games.
  • TOTAL went OVER in 5 of the previous 6 Hawks’ home games.

Heat vs. Hawks Head to Head

Throughout this NBA season, these teams met 4 times, and the result was 2-2. Both teams posted their triumphs at home.

Head vs. Hawks Predictions

The TOTAL line is set at 218.5 points, and we will pick OVER here. The reason for such a decision is the fact that both the Heat and the Hawks are very good on the offensive side, and they rely more on scoring than the defense.

  • Free NBA pick: Over 218.5 points

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