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Expert prediction

NBA Player Props, Breakdown, Odds, and Picks (May 16)

  • Annie Adkins
  • May 16, 2023 at 6:28 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Lakers and Nuggets lock horns in the Western Conference Finals. 
  • The Lakers travel to Denver’s Ball Arena in Game 1.
  • Jamal Murray set for another brilliant performance.

It’s time for the Western Conference Finals! The Los Angeles Lakers and Denver Nuggets battle for the conference title and Game 1 is played at Ball Arena in Colorado’s capital. That’s where Michael Malone’s boys have a 100% record since the start of the 2023 postseason.

So far in the playoffs, they’ve won six games, and in four of those, Jamal Murray was their top scorer. Can he do the same once again?


Lakers vs Nuggets

How to Watch:

  • When: Tuesday, May 16, 2023, at 8:30 p.m ET
  • Where: Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado      
  • Channel: ESPN

Odds

Historical odds are unavailable. The original analysis is preserved.

Prop Pick

Jamal Murray had a lot of problems with injuries in the 2022-23 season, especially in the early stage when he was struggling with his knee. Unfortunately for him, the same problem bothered her a few more times later in the season. To make things even worse, he also suffered a finger injury last month.

Knowing all this, it’s no surprise that Murray’s stats in the regular season weren’t too great. For example, the Canadian was averaging 20.0 points per game in the regular season – his worst record since the 2018-19 season.

The good news is that he’s been brilliant since the start of the postseason. The 26-year-old Canadian has been averaging 25.9 PPG in the playoffs.

That sure is impressive, but he’s been even better in postseason games played in Denver. So far, the Nuggets have played six games at Ball Arena in the 2023 playoffs, in which Murray’s average was 27.0 PPG. We think that he could get to that number this evening as well.

NBA Player PropsOdds
Jamal Murray to score at least 27 points

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