Expert prediction
OKC Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers Game 4 Preview, Odds, Predictions (June 13)
- Nikola Velickovic
- Jun 12, 2025 at 11:37 AM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Thunder vs. Pacers Game 4 moneyline is -230 on OKC.
- Indiana Pacers won Game 3 116-107.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had 26 free throws in the Finals so far, while Tyrese Haliburton didn’t shoot a single one.
The Pacers have the lead in the NBA Finals following a Game 3 win. Bennedict Mathurin was the hero of this one, scoring 27 points.
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How to Watch
- When: Friday, June 13, 8:30 PM ET
- Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana
- How to Watch: ABC
Thunder vs. Pacers Game 4 Odds & Lines
| Team | Odds | Spread | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | -230 | -6.5 | 225.5 |
| Pacers | +195 | +6.5 | 225.5 |
Game Preview
The Thunder had a 5-point lead coming into the fourth period. Yet, they were outscored in the final 12 minutes, 32-18. OKC lost the pace in the finish, allowing the home team to outrun them and break through high-octane offense.
Shai had 24 points, yet he had 6 turnovers, looking a bit out of control in situations where he wanted to draw a foul. Jalen Williams had a team-high 26 points and also added six boards, but he had 4 turnovers, too. Chet Holmgren added a double-double with 20 points and 10 boards.
Leading the Pacers in scoring in a Finals game right now btw 😅 pic.twitter.com/ZlYWPa3btJ
— NBA on ESPN (@ESPNNBA) June 12, 2025
Benedict Mathurin came off the bench to score 27 points for the Pacers in 22 minutes. He was 9-for-12 from the field. Pascal Siakam scored 21 points and had six boards and 4 assists, while Haliburton missed a triple-double for one board – 22 points, 11 assists, and 9 rebounds.
The Pacers’ bench outscored the rivals 49-18 and that was the key to a win here. No doubt about that. We also want to note that Indiana shot 51.8% from the field, despite going 9-for-27 from three-point range.
Thunder vs. Pacers Head to Head
The result in the series is 2-1 for the Pacers. The previous game saw Under points.
Thunder vs. Pacers Game 4 Predictions
It seems that the Pacers feel quite comfortable playing at home against the Thunder. The officiating was OK, and that might be the reason why Indiana didn’t have too many problems slowing down SGA, particularly in the final period. We won’t bet on the Pacers’ win here, but for them to defend a 6.5-point spread, which is a bit of an underestimation towards the hosts.
- Free NBA Finals picks: Pacers +6.5
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