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Expert prediction

Thunder vs. Spurs Game 6 Preview, Odds, Picks (May 28)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • May 28, 2026 at 8:28 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Thunder vs. Spurs Game 6 odds favor San Antonio by 3.5 points.
  • The Thunder leads 3-2 in the series.
  • OKC had 38 free throws in Game 5.

Bismack Biyombo and Mason Plumlee showed Jared McCain at the end of Game 5 what awaits the Thunder in San Antonio in Game 6. It seems that the Spurs are going to respond in OKC’s manner.

Here are more NBA playoff picks.

How to Watch

  • Where: Frost Center, San Antonio, Texas
  • When: Thursday, May 28, 8:30 pm ET
  • How to Watch: NBC, Peacock

Thunder vs. Spurs Game 6 Odds

TeamOddsSpreadTotals
Thunder+130+3.5219.5
Spurs-155-3.5219.5

Game Preview

Thunder froze the Spurs right away, squeezing them with a very tough and physical approach. Though we have to say that Wemby faced all sorts of defenses against him, both legal and illegal. The refs gave him 12 free throws, but Shai got 17.

That’s what pissed off the Spurs in the end, when two veterans came on the court, Bismack Biyombo and Mason Plumlee, who landed a couple of cheap shots on Jared McCain. Just to indicate to the Thunder what to expect in Game 6.

As stated, Shai took 17 foul shots and finished with 32 points. McCain was the X-factor with 20 points, and of course, Alex Caruso, who posted 22 points with 6 assists off the bench.

OKC controlled the glass well, having 48 boards, and limiting the rivals to just 41. Also, the hosts have made 14 threes which made things easier for Shai to penetrate and to draw fouls.

Before Betting

  • OKC had 38 and SAS 32 free throws in Game 5.
  • Thunder had 48 boards and SAS 41 in Game 5.
  • De’Aaron Fox played 33 minutes to score only 9 points.

Thunder vs. Spurs Game 6 Predictions

The last game in San Antonio went UNDER, and we strongly believe this one will as well. It seems that there will be a war at Frost Center, judging by the last few minutes of the previous game. The Spurs are with their backs against the wall, meaning they have to be more aggressive than ever.

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