Expert prediction
WNBA: New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Preview, Odds and Predictions (July 11)
- Richard Pereira
- Jul 11, 2026 at 11:57 AM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- The Liberty have been solid on the road with a 6-4 record so far.
- The Lynx are decent at home with a 6-4 record to show for it.
- New York tops the East standings, while Minnesota is second in the West.
The 2026 WNBA season is halfway through as a matchup between the New York Liberty and Minnesota Lynx takes place on Saturday afternoon. The latter stands out as the solid favorite, paving the way for an intriguing matchup where both teams need winning momentum.
How to Watch
- When: Saturday, July 11, 1 pm ET
- Where: Target Center, Minnesota, Minneapolis
- How to Watch: ABC
WNBA Matchup Odds & Lines
| Team | Odds | Spread | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| NY Liberty | -115 | +5 | O174 |
| MINN Lynx | -105 | -5 | U174 |
Game Preview
The Liberty (13-9) have suffered a dip in form after rolling off eight consecutive wins in June. They have since lost five of their last eight games but manage to maintain their place as the top squad in the East. Breanna Stewart leads the charge with 20.5 points, 8.5 rebounds, 2.8 assists, 1.3 steals, and 1.3 blocks per game. Jonquel Jones comes next with 15.2 points and 9.1 rebounds, while Sabrina Ionescu provides 10.7 points and 3.8 assists per contest.
The Lynx (16-6) are competing with the Las Vegas Aces for the top spot in the West, shining as an elite squad. They have done this without the services of Napheesa Collier, who is nearing her return from an ankle injury that has kept her sidelined since before the season started. Star rookie Olivia Miles has exceeded expectations with 18.5 points, 5.7 assists, 4.8 rebounds, and 1.4 steals per contest. Natasha Howard follows suit with 17 points and eight rebounds, while Courtney Williams contributes with 16 points and 5.4 rebounds per game.
Liberty vs Lynx Predictions
This game will be an entertaining one for WNBA fans, seeing two of the best performing teams duke it out. Minnesota has excelled with Napheesa Collier, seeing her eventual return as a major boost to their quality. However, Breanna Stewart and the Liberty will look to slow down Minnesota’s momentum with quality defense. That being aid, our betting pick here is for the Lynx to defend a 5-point spread.
- Free NBA pick: Minnesota Lynx -5
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