Expert prediction
WNBA: Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Preview, Odds and Predictions (July 11)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- The Fire have struggled on the road with a 3-7 record so far.
- The Dream are strong at home with a 7-3 record to show for it.
- Portland is third-to-last in the West standings, while Atlanta is second in the East.
The 2026 WNBA season is halfway through as a matchup between the Portland Fire and the Atlanta Dream commences on Saturday evening. The latter stands out as the solid favorite, paving the way for an intriguing matchup where both teams need winning momentum.
How to Watch
- When: Saturday, July 11, 6 pm ET
- Where: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
- How to Watch: Peacock
WNBA Matchup Odds & Lines
| Team | Odds | Spread | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO Mercury | -110 | +14 | O172.5 |
| LV Aces | -110 | -14 | U172.5 |
Game Preview
The Mercury (8-15) are trying to gain some positive traction after going through a four-game losing skid. They have since gone 4-3 in their last seven contests, slowly making their way back up the West standings. Phoenix us coming off a tight 92-89 loss to the Indiana Fever, giving up 50 points to Kelsey Mitchell and Aliyah Boston. Alyssa Thomas led the team with 22 points, seven assists, six rebounds, one steal, and a block. Meanwhile, Kahleah Copper came next with 22 points and five rebounds.
The Aces (16-6) have been up and down despite being one of the best teams in the entire league. They have won four of their last seven games, switching between wins and losses. Despite this, they took care of business after beating the Portland Fire by an 88-80 score. A’ja Wilson was dominant after putting together a 32-point, 10-rebound double-double performance. Jackie Young followed suit with 19 points and 11 assists, while NaLyssa Smith provided 16 points and two steals.
Mercury vs Aces Predictions
The Aces stand out as the firm favorite, and rightfully so. Phoenix has done well in its recent stretch of games to bring more wins to its record, but its overall quality will be put to the test. A’ja Wilson is picking up where she left off, so it might be a long night for the visiting Mercury. Our betting pick here is for the Aces to defend a 14-point spread.
- Free NBA pick: Atlanta Dream -14
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