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Expert prediction

NCAAB: #14 Akron vs #3 Creighton Odds, and Picks (Mar 21)

  • Keith McCarthy
  • Mar 20, 2024 at 6:36 PM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Creighton came up a bit short in the Big East quarterfinals, losing 78-73 to Providence.
  • Akron claimed the MAC title and an automatic bid following their win over Kent State.
  • Creighton holds the all-time advantage in this series with three wins and one loss against Akron.

As the NCAA Tournament begins, let’s preview this first-round matchup between the Creighton Bluejays and the Akron Zips. The Bluejays seek redemption following a 5-point loss to Providence, while Akron enters the tournament having just won the MAC.


The Akron Zips posted a 24-10 record, anchored by their formidable defense that limits opponents to just 65.8 ppg. However, their success may also be attributed to their relatively easy schedule, which has yet to feature a Top 25 team. To secure victory, Akron will rely heavily on senior forward Enrique Freeman. He leads all Division I NCAA basketball players in rebounds per game with an astounding 12.8, while also averaging 18.6 ppg. Freeman has 30 double-doubles in 34 games.

The Creighton Bluejays had a stellar season, averaging an impressive 80.5 ppg, which led them to a 23-9 record. Their resilience against top-tier competition was evident, with victories in 3 out of 5 matchups against Top 25 teams. Moreover, their efficient shooting of 48.6% adds to their offensive prowess. Spearheading the charge is 6’7″ G Baylor Scheierman, who posted an impressive 18.4 ppg and 9 rpg. The experience of Seniors Baylor Scheierman and Ryan Kalkbrenner will be key for Creighton.


Prediction

In a clash of contrasting styles, we believe that the Creighton Bluejays will emerge victorious, drawing upon the size and experience of their roster. If Creighton and 7’1″ Ryan Kalkbrenner can effectively neutralize Enrique Freeman’s dominance on the glass, they should secure a decisive victory. If their game plan is tailored to stifle Akron’s key playmaker, expect the Bluejays to not only win the game, but also cover the 13-point spread.

NCAAB Picks:

  • Creighton to win (CREIGH -13.0)

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