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Expert prediction

College Basketball Crown Semifinals: Oklahoma vs Baylor Preview, Odds, Predictions (April 4)

  • Richard Pereira
  • Apr 3, 2026 at 11:03 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • The Sooners took down Colorado in the Crown quarterfinals.
  • The Bears eliminated Minnesota from the Crown quarterfinals.
  • This marks the 52nd all-time matchup between the two squads.

The second annual College Basketball Crown continues as the semifinal round begins with a matchup between the Oklahoma Sooners and the Baylor Bears. The former comes out as the slight favorite, paving the way for an intriguing showdown that will decide one of the two spots in the championship game.

How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, April 4, 1:30 pm ET
  • Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
  • How to Watch: FOX

NCAA Matchup Odds & Lines

TeamOddsSpreadTotals
Oklahoma-110-1O157.5
Baylor-110+1U157.5

Game Preview

The Sooners (20-15) won for the seventh time in nine games, taking down Colorado in an overtime thriller to begin the Crown. They got 16-plus points from four players in posting their third straight 20-win season. Nijel Pack scored a team-high 20 points, his sixth 20-point effort in the last eight contests, while Tae Davis netted 19, Xzayvier Brown 17 and Kuol Atak 16. Jadon Jones led the way with three rejections while Pack and Mohamed Wague had two each. Wague added seven points, a team-high eight rebounds, two assists and a game-high three steals.

The Bears (17-16) find a way to extend their season for at least one more game, dispatching Minnesota in a convincing blowout in the quarterfinals. Three Bears led the charge with 15-plus points: Tounde Yessoufou with 19 points, Obi Agbim with 17 points and Cameron Carr with 15 points. Agbim found his stride from beyond the arc, going 5-for-8 from deep. The fifth-year senior out-shot the entirety of the Minnesota roster from three, with the Golden Gophers going only 3-for-23.

Oklahoma vs Baylor Head-to-Head

The two programs have had 51 meetings in their history, and the result is 31-20 for the Sooners. The last matchup was in February 2024 when Baylor won 79-62 at home.

Oklahoma vs Baylor Predictions

The winner of the Oklahoma-Baylor game will meet either West Virginia or Creighton on Sunday, April 5. This game presents itself as a tossup with both teams prevailing in different ways throughout the quarterfinals. However, the Sooners might come out as the superior squad as long as they come through with big plays down the stretch like they did against Colorado. Our betting pick here is for the Sooners to defend a 1-point spread.

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