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Expert prediction

Cal Poly vs Hawai’i Preview, Odds, Predictions (Feb. 19)

  • Richard Pereira
  • Feb 19, 2026 at 8:11 PM EST

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • The Mustangs have won their last two games.
  • The Rainbow Warriors are in the mix for the Big West regular-season title.
  • This marks the 30th all-time matchup between the two Big West squads.

One final matchup caps off the Feb. 19 slate as the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors play host to the Cal Poly Mustangs on Thursday night. The former stand tall as the strong favorite, having motivation to win as they are competing for the regular-season title.

How to Watch

  • When: Thursday, Feb. 19, 11:59 pm ET
  • Where: Stan Sheriff Center, Honolulu, Hawai’i
  • How to Watch: ESPN+

NCAA Matchup Odds & Lines

TeamOddsSpreadTotals
Cal Poly-110+11.5161.5
Hawai’i-110-11.5161.5

Game Preview

The Mustangs (11-16, 7-8 Big West) haven’t had the same form they had in past seasons, needing to win the conference tournament to qualify for March Madness. They are coming off back-to-back losses to North Texas and Utah State, losing the latter in an embarrassing blowout. The Mustangs rank 13th in the NCAA in 3FGM (11.0) and 7th in 3FGA (32.4) per game. Hamad Mousa leads the Big West and ranks 33rd nationally at 20.0 points per game while securing six rebounds per contest. Mousa and Peter Bandelj have been strong from downtown, making over 37% of their 3-point shots.

The Rainbow Warriors (18-6, 10-4 Big West) are making solid arguments as they are in the race for the regular-season title. They were winning five of their last six games before recently losing to CSUN on Valentine’s Day. Hawai’i ranks fifth in the country in 3-point percentage defense (.278), having a strong advantage in their upcoming matchup. Four players are scoring in double figures as Isaac Johnson leads the attack with averages of 13.4 points and 5.9 rebounds per game.

Cal Poly vs Hawai’i Head-to-Head

The two programs have had 29 meetings in their history, and the result is 19-10 for the Rainbow Warriors. The last matchup was in January this year when Hawai’i won 86-66 on the road.

Cal Poly vs Hawai’i Predictions

Cal Poly may have a strong offense, but its defense stands out with how woeful it has been this year. They concede 85.3 points per game, losing a lot of games due to their inability to keep opponents from exploding with scoring runs. This paves the way for Hawai’i to defend homecourt in convincing fashion while limiting the Mustangs’ production from 3-point land. Our betting pick here is the Rainbow Warriors to defend a 9-point spread.

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