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Expert prediction

No. 9 Gonzaga vs Saint Mary’s Preview, Odds, Predictions (Feb. 28)

  • Richard Pereira
  • Feb 28, 2026 at 6:54 PM EST

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • The Bulldogs are rolling with six consecutive wins in conference play.
  • The Gears have won their last seven games in league play.
  • This marks the 122nd all-time matchup between the two WCC programs.

The late night of Feb. 28 will have high quality basketball when the No. 9 Gonzaga Bulldogs face the Saint Mary’s Gaels. The former shines as the slight favorite, having direct implications on who will come out as the WCC’s regular-season champion.

How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, Feb. 28, 10:30 pm ET
  • Where: University Credit Union Pavilion, Moraga, California
  • How to Watch: ESPN

NCAA Matchup Odds & Lines

TeamOddsSpreadTotals
Gonzaga-110-2O 143
Saint Mary’s-110+2U 143

Game Preview

The No. 9 Bulldogs (28-2, 16-1 WCC) continue to dominate as one of the best basketball squads in the country, vying for the WCC’s regular-season title. They lead the WCC in assist-to-turnover ratio (1.90, 6th in NCAA), assists (18.4, 12th), bench points (35.87, 4th), effective field goal percentage (.566, 24th), fast-break points (15.1, 22nd), field goal percentage (51.4, 5th), field goal percentage defense (39.9, 20th), three-point percentage defense (30.4). Graham Ike commands the unit with averages of 19.8 points and 8.4 rebounds per game on 56.6% shooting from the field. Meanwhile, Tyon Grant-Foster tops the blocking chart with 1.1 blocks per game to go with 11.1 points and 5.1 rebounds per contest.

The Gaels (26-4, 15-2 WCC) have been remarkable in conference play, competing with Gonzaga for the regular-season title. They rank fifth in the country with a plus-11.5 rebound margin. It is seventh in NCAA DI, allowing only 64.4 points per game. The Gaels top the conference shooting 38.6 percent from three-point range, which is 13th in the nation, and are holding opponents to 30.4 percent from behind-the-arc. Andrew McKeever tops the WCC grabbing 9.2 rebounds per outing, and his 275 total is 14th in the nation. He is 16th in the country, and first in the conference, averaging 3.67 offensive boards per game.

Gonzaga vs Saint Mary’s Head-to-Head

The two programs have had 121 meetings in their history, and the result is 84-37 for the Bulldogs as they won the last eight games. The most recent matchup was in February 2025 when Saint Mary’s won 62-68 on the road.

Gonzaga vs Saint Mary’s Predictions

Both teams have excelled as the undisputed best teams in the entire WCC. Gonzaga needs to win to secure the regular-season title outright, while Saint Mary’s requires a victory to earn a share of the title. Both teams possess talent on both sides of the ball, paving the way for a game that will go down to the wire to cap off the Feb. 28 schedule. Our betting pick here is the Bulldogs to defend a 2-point spread.

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