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Expert prediction

Louisiana Tech vs Liberty Preview, Odds, Predictions (March 5)

  • Richard Pereira
  • Mar 5, 2026 at 1:26 PM EST

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • The Bulldogs have struggled on the road with a 2-10 record.
  • The Flames earn the CUSA regular-season title
  • This marks the sixth all-time matchup between the two CUSA squads.

Matchups in CUSA will be present on Thursday as the red-hot Liberty Flames host the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs. The Flames stand out as convincing favorites, looking to end the season strong after winning the conference’s regular-season title.

How to Watch

  • When: Thursday, March 5, 7 pm ET
  • Where: Liberty Arena, Lynchburg, Virginia
  • How to Watch: ESPN+

NCAA Matchup Odds & Lines

TeamOddsSpreadTotals
Louisiana Tech-110+9.5O138
Liberty-110-9.5U138

Game Preview

The Bulldogs (16-13, 9-9 CUSA) prepare for a tough matchup on the road against the best performing squad in the conference. They rank inside the top 15 in the country in scoring defense (65.3) and field goal percentage defense (39.4), also leading in both categories during conference play only. DJ Dudley is averaging 19.8 points while shooting 46.8 percent from the field and 41.9 percent from beyond the arc in the last four games. During all of conference play, he is averaging a team-best 16.2 points, which ranks 11th in the league. On another note, AJ Bates ranks inside the top 35 in the nation in both total assists (169) and assists per game (5.8), being third in CUSA.

The Flames (24-5, 16-2 CUSA) have remarkably performed as the undisputed top squad in CUSA, securing the regular-season title after beating Jacksonville State on Feb. 28. They have won 17 of their last 19 games, bouncing back from Western Kentucky and Kennesaw State. They rank No. 1 in the country in effective field goal percentage at 61.7 percent, also being top five in the nation in both field goal percentage (52.1) and three-point field goal percentage (40.2). Brett Decker Jr. leads the elite attack with 16.5 points per contest, making a team-high 97 3-pointers and counting. Meanwhile, Zach Cleveland averaging 11.5 points, 7.5 rebounds and 6.8 assists, which ranks 11th in the country.

Louisiana Tech vs Liberty Head-to-Head

The two programs have had five meetings in their history, and the result is 3-2 for the Flames. The last matchup was in January this year when Liberty won 72-56 on the road.

Louisiana Tech vs Liberty Predictions

Liberty will be busy throughout the matchup, already completing its objective of earning the regular-season title. Louisiana Tech has motivation to get an upset win on the road, but it will be difficult for them if they can’t set the tone early and make Liberty’s offense struggle at home. Our betting pick here is the Flames to defend an 9.5-point spread.

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