Expert prediction
TCU vs No. 10 Texas Tech Preview, Odds, Predictions (March 3)
- Richard Pereira
- Mar 3, 2026 at 5:30 PM EST
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- The Horned Frogs have won their last three games in conference play.
- The Red Raiders rose up six spots in the new AP rankings.
- This marks the 146th all-time matchup between the two Big 12 squads.
An intriguing matchup in the March 3 slate will occur in the Big 12 when the No. 10 Texas Tech Red Raiders take on the TCU Horned Frogs. The hosts come out as the solid favorite, providing many factors that can make the difference in this big conference showdown.
How to Watch
- When: Tuesday, March 3, 7 pm ET
- Where: United Supermarkets Arena, Lubbock, Texas
- How to Watch: FS1
NCAA Matchup Odds & Lines
| Team | Odds | Spread | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | -114 | +8.5 | O147.5 |
| Texas Tech | -106 | -8.5 | U147.5 |
Game Preview
The Horned Frogs (19-10, 9-7 Big 12) look to end conference play on a strong note, winning their last three games over West Virginia, Arizona State and Kansas State. David Punch leads the team in points (13.9) and rebounds (6.6). Punch’s 2.1 blocks per game ranks third in the Big 12 and 24th nationally. Meanwhile, Xavier Edmonds ranks seventh in the Big 12 with 8.3 rebounds per game in conference play.
The No. 10 Red Raiders (22-7, 12-4 Big 12) continue to stand their ground as one of the best teams in the country despite JT Toppin’s season-ending ACL injury. Christian Anderson leads the Big 12 and is third nationally with 7.7 assists per game while also ranking fifth in the conference in scoring with 19.4 points per game and is fourth with 96 made 3-pointers. On another note, Donovan Atwell leads the Big 12 and is third nationally with his 110 made 3-pointers this season along with leading the conference with 3.79 made 3s per game and is second by shooting 46.2% from deep.
TCU vs Texas Tech Head-to-Head
The two programs have had 145 meetings in their history, and the result is 88-57 for the Red Raiders. The last matchup was in February 2025 when TCU won 69-66 at home.
TCU vs Texas Tech Predictions
Texas Tech will seek favorable position in the Big 12 Tournament as the regular-season title is no longer in reach with Arizona winning it. As for TCU, they look to have a high seed to give itself a solid bracket going into next week. However, the Horned Frogs’ chances of winning will be difficult with the Red Raiders only losing once at home. Our betting pick here is the Red Raiders to cover an 8.5-point spread.
- Free NCAAB pick: Texas Tech Red Raiders -8.5
NCAAB
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