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Expert prediction

Vermont vs UMBC Preview, Odds, Predictions (Feb. 19)

  • Richard Pereira
  • Feb 19, 2026 at 1:11 PM EST

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • The Catamounts have won their last three games in conference play.
  • The Retrievers are rolling with a four-game win streak.
  • This marks the 56th all-time matchup between these two Am. East squads.

The American East Conference will tip off Thursday’s slate of games across the country, featuring the Vermont Catamounts and the UMBC Retrievers. The former stands out as the solid favorite, paving the way for the Sun Devils to do a lot to have the game be competitive.

How to Watch

  • When: Thursday, Feb. 19, 6 pm ET
  • Where: Chesapeake Employers Insurance, Baltimore, Maryland
  • How to Watch: ESPN+

NCAA Matchup Odds & Lines

TeamOddsSpreadTotals
Vermont-110-1.5O141.5
UMBC-110+1.5U141.5

Game Preview

The Catamounts (17-10, 9-3 Am. East) have been on a roll while being in the mix for the regular season title. They’ve won their last three games over New Hampshire, Binghamton and most recently Bryant. Four players are scoring in double figures as Gus Yalden leads the attack with 16.3 points and 5.6 rebounds per game.

The Retrievers (16-8, 9-2 Am. East) are also in the race of competing for the regular season title. They’ve won their last four contests against Albany, Binghamton, Maine, and New Hampshire. Four players lead the offense with double-digit scoring with Jah’Likai King producing 13.7 points and 3.6 rebounds per contest.

Vermont vs UMBC Head-to-Head

The two programs have had 55 meetings in their history, and the result is 45-10 for the Catamounts. The last matchup was in January this year when Vermont won 64-55 at home

Vermont vs UMBC State Predictions

It’s clear that both squads have their cases to make as two of the best teams from their conference. However, the all-time history shows a major advantage for Vermont as they display talent on both sides of the ball. If UMBC can’t assert themselves with plenty of physicality, then Vermont may coast to victory and win the season series. Our betting pick here is the Catamounts to defend a 1.5-point spread.

  • Free NCAAB pick: Vermont Catamounts -1.5

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