Expert prediction
EFL Cup Final: Arsenal vs. Manchester City Preview, Odds, Predictions, Picks (Mar 22)
- Nikola Velickovic
- Mar 19, 2026 at 4:57 AM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Arsenal vs. Manchester City clash in the EFL Cup finals.
- The Carabao Cup odds slightly favor the Gunners at +140.
- Man City didn’t win in the past 6 games against Arsenal.
Manchester City and Guardiola need to win here, in order to save what seems like a lost season already. Meanwhile, Arsenal is in chase for the Quadruple, something that just a few teams have ever done.
How to Watch
- When: Sunday, March 22, 12:30 pm ET
- Where: Wembley Stadium, London, England
- How to Watch: ESPN+
EFL Cup: Arsenal vs. Manchester City Odds
Arsenal vs. Manchester City Preview
Arsenal has won 6 of its last 7 games and is unbeaten in 14 straight. Arteta’s crew is in one hell of a form in the most important part of the season, and it’s no wonder why many see them as the top favorites for winning all the possible trophies this year.
The good thing for Arteta is that his defense has kept a clean sheet in the past two games, beating Everton and Leverkusen by the same score, 2-0. They didn’t play convincingly in either of those contests, but the result was there.
See you in 4️⃣ days, @wembleystadium 👋#EFL | #CarabaoCupFinal pic.twitter.com/qojE41jfqp
— Carabao Cup (@Carabao_Cup) March 18, 2026
Manchester City is in deep trouble. This might be the worst period for the Citizens since Guardiola took over. A win here would be a small consolation, but the loss would be a massive humiliation.
Right now, City is without a win for the past three games. Two of them were defeats to Real Madrid in the UCL, and may we add that the team looked terrible in those contests.
Arsenal vs. Manchester City Head to Head
Right now, Arsenal is on a 6-game unbeaten streak against City. Though, we have to note that 4 of those contests ended with a tie. The most recent one, early in this campaign, ended the same way, 1-1 at the Emirates.
By the way, 7 of the previous 10 events ended with both teams netting.
Arsenal vs. Manchester City Predictions
This will be a very dull and tactical matchup, not only because it is the finals, but also because it’s a clash between two guys who know one another very well. Therefore, we pick under 2.5 goals here as the final pick.
- Free EFL Picks: Under 2.5 goals
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