Expert prediction
FIFA World Cup Draw, Latest Odds, and Early Picks (2026)
- Alex Dudley
- Dec 8, 2025 at 6:52 AM EST
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
The glamorous draw procedure made international headlines last week, but the paths for some of the world’s best soccer players to achieve immortality is now set. The FIFA World Cup will get underway in Mexico on June 11, as the hosts clash with South Africa. Below, you can find all the information surrounding the FIFA World Cup Draw, as well as an early pick to win the competition.
FIFA World Cup Overview
| Stat | Information |
|---|---|
| When | Thursday, June 11, 2026 – Sunday, July 19, 2026 |
| Where | Various Stadiums, North America |
| How to Watch | Fox Sports/Telemundo |
FIFA World Cup Draw
Group A
| Nation | Best World Cup Showing | Odds to Win Group A | Odds to Win World Cup |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | Quarter-Finals (1970, 1986) | +115 | +8000 |
| South Africa | Group Stage (1996, 2002, 2010) | +1800 | +50000 |
| South Korea | Fourth Place (2002) | +300 | +17500 |
| UEFA Path D Winner | TBC | +200 | TBC |
Mexico will have home field advantage for all three of their group stage games, kicking off against South Africa on June 11, before facing South Korea on June 18, and the winners of the UEFA Playoff. South Korea could be the dark-horse in this group, and they would be an early pick to win the group.
Free Pick:
Group B
| Nation | Best World Cup Showing | Odds to Win Group B | Odds to Win World Cup |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | Group Stage (1986, 2022) | +300 | +20000 |
| UEFA Path A Winner | TBC | +145 | TBC |
| Qatar | Group Stage (2022) | +2000 | +100000 |
| Switzerland | Quarterfinals (1934, 1938, 1954) | +150 | +8000 |
Like Mexico, Canada will have home field advantage for all three group stage games, kicking off with the UEFA Path A Winner, before facing Qatar and Switzerland in Vancouver. Switzerland could be the value play based on the early prices after enjoying an excellent qualifying campaign.
Free Pick:
Group C
| Nation | Best World Cup Showing | Odds to Win Group C | Odds to Win World Cup |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil | Winners (1958, 1962, 1970, 1994, 2002) | -400 | +800 |
| Morocco | Fourth Place (2022) | +375 | +8000 |
| Haiti | Debutants | +5000 | +250000 |
| Scotland | Group Stage (1954, 1958, 1974, 1978, 1982, 1986, 1990, 1996) | +1200 | +30000 |
Five-time winners Brazil will head the betting to win Group C, but they will have serious questions to answer if they are to win the World Cup this summer. Morocco impressed in the 2022 World Cup, and they could give the South Americans a serious opening game of the tournament.
Free Pick:
Group D
| Nation | Best World Cup Showing | To Win Group D Odds | To Win World Cup Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | Third Place (1930) | +140 | +6600 |
| Paraguay | Quarter-Finals (2010) | +260 | +20000 |
| Australia | Round of 16 (2006, 2022) | +900 | +25000 |
| UEFA Path C Winner | TBC | +220 | TBC |
Mauricio Pochettino’s USA were one of the big winners during the FIFA World Cup draw, and they will have no excuses in terms of gaining progression through to the next round. Paraguay could join the hosts in the next round, but home fans will be demanding three wins from three in Group D.
Free Pick:
Group E
| Nation | Best World Cup Showing | To Win Group E Odds | To Win World Cup Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | Winners (1954, 1974, 1990, 2014) | -250 | +1200 |
| Curacao | Debutants | +10000 | +200000 |
| Ivory Coast | Group Stage (2006, 2010, 2014) | +700 | +20000 |
| Ecuador | Round of 16 (2006) | +285 | +8000 |
Germany will be widely expected to top Group E and put their recent disappointments at the World Cup behind them. However, Ecuador could be an interesting angle to upset the odds after qualifying for the finals in stunning fashion, and boasting one of the best defensive records.
Free Pick:
Group F
| Nation | Best World Cup Showing | To Win Group F Odds | To Win World Cup Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | Runners-Up (1974, 1978, 2010) | -125 | +2200 |
| Japan | Round of 16 (2002, 2010, 2018, 2022) | +325 | +10000 |
| UEFA Path B Winner | TBC | +350 | TBC |
| Tunisia | Group Stage (1978, 1998, 2002, 2006, 2018, 2022) | +1000 | +40000 |
The Netherlands have been losing finalists in three previous editions of the World Cup. This could be a challenging group for the Dutch to navigate. Japan have been one of the emerging national teams in recent editions of the competition, and I like their chances of going deep in the World Cup next summer.
Free Pick:
Group G
| Nation | Best World Cup Showing | To Win Group G Odds | To Win World Cup Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | Third Place (2018) | -275 | +4000 |
| Egypt | Round of 16 (1934) | +550 | +15000 |
| Iran | Group Stage (1978, 1998, 2006, 2014, 2018, 2022) | +450 | +50000 |
| New Zealand | Group Stage (1982, 2010) | +2500 | +75000 |
Group G should be a straightforward assignment for a talented Belgium team. They open their campaign in Seattle against Egypt, before facing Iran in California and New Zealand in Vancouver. It should be maximum points for the Europeans.
Free Pick:
Group H
| Nation | Best World Cup Showing | To Win Group H Odds | To Win World Cup Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | Winners (2010) | -500 | +450 |
| Cape Verde | Debutants | +4000 | +175000 |
| Saudi Arabia | Round of 16 (1994) | +2200 | +75000 |
| Uruguay | Winners (1930, 1950) | +375 | +5000 |
Reigning European champions Spain will face an interesting challenge for top spot in Group H, as Uruguay have plenty of ability within their squad. A lot will hinge on the clash between the nations on matchday three in Mexico on June 26.
Free Pick:
Group I
| Nation | Best World Cup Showing | To Win Group I Odds | To Win World Cup Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| France | Winners (1998, 2018) | -190 | +800 |
| Senegal | Quarterfinals (2002) | +575 | +12500 |
| IC Path 2 Winner | TBC | +2800 | TBC |
| Norway | Round of 16 (1938, 1998) | +275 | +2800 |
Arguably the most fascinating group comes in the form of Group I. France will be heavily favored to progress, while Norway are the trend selection for many following the draw. However, the climate could play into the hands of Senegal, who have already taken some notable scalps in 2025.
Free Pick:
Group J
| Nation | Best World Cup Showing | To Win Group J Odds | To Win World Cup Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | Winners (1978, 1986, 2022) | -350 | +850 |
| Algeria | Round of 16 (2014) | +750 | +25000 |
| Austria | Third Place (1954) | +450 | +12500 |
| Jordan | Debutants | +3300 | +250000 |
The reigning world champions should have a straightforward passage through to the knockout stages. Argentina opens their World Cup defense against Algeria in Kansas City on June 16, before facing Austria and Jordan on June 22 and June 27, respectively. Maximum points is expected.
Free Pick:
Group K
| Nation | Best World Cup Showing | To Win Group K Odds | To Win World Cup Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal | Third Place (1966) | -169 | +1100 |
| IC Path 1 Winner | TBC | +1400 | TBC |
| Uzbekistan | Debutants | +2200 | +20000 |
| Colombia | Quarterfinals (2018) | +150 | +5000 |
Cristiano Ronaldo’s final World Cup will get underway in Houston on June 17, before Portugal face interesting challenges against Uzbekistan and Colombia on June 23 and June 27. A talented Portuguese side should have too much for their rivals.
Free Pick:
Group L
| Nation | Best World Cup Showing | To Win Group L Odds | To Win World Cup Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| England | Winners (1966) | -280 | +600 |
| Croatia | Finalists (2018) | +300 | +8000 |
| Ghana | Quarterfinals (2010) | +1000 | +30000 |
| Panama | Group Stage (2018) | +4000 | +75000 |
England will have a sense of déjà vu from the 2018 World Cup, as they face Panama in the group stage. The Three Lions saw their dreams dashed in the semi-final of that tournament by their matchday one opponents, Croatia. Thomas Tuchel’s talented squad have shown huge improvements in tournament soccer since then, and they should professionally make it through Group L as winners.
Free Pick:
Soccer
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