Expert prediction
La Liga: Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid Preview, Odds, Picks (Sep 20)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid odds favor Real Madrid as slight road favorites at +100.
- Real Madrid sit second in La Liga with five wins from six matches, scoring 17 goals.
- Atletico Madrid scored at least two goals in each of its home games this season.
The Madrid Derby comes up this weekend. Atletico hosts Real on Sunday afternoon at Metropolitano, and we expect nothing but fireworks.
Here are more soccer picks.
How to Watch
- When: Sunday, September 20, 2026, 10:15 AM ET
- Where: Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid, Spain
- How to Watch: ESPN+ / ESPN Deportes
La Liga Odds
Game Preview
After two losses suffered on the road, one in La Liga and the other in the UCL, Atletico bounced back, beating Real Sociedad in San Sebastian, 0-3, and then smashing Osasuna at home 4-0.
They are very confident at home this year, netting 8 goals in three La Liga fixtures. Their most recent win over Osasuna saw four different players find the back of the net: David, Lee Kang-In, Le Normand and Baena.
Real isn’t playing as many would expect, particularly on the road, yet they are winning. So far, Los Blancos have had 5 wins in 6 appearances, but their defense isn’t looking well at all.
Mourinho’s crew allowed at least a goal in all but one game this year. Real’s matches are efficient, and 6 of the 7 they’ve played this season ended with over 2.5 hits.
Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid Head to Head
Both teams have scored in 9 of the last 10 meetings between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid. Last year, Real triumphed in the Super Cup, while both teams split honors in La Liga. Atletico was better at home, 5-2, and Real won at Bernabeu 3-2.
Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid Predictions
We aren’t picking the winner here, but go with high efficiency. Both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals is the best bet. Both sides are in strong offensive rhythm, and the history suggests goals, so this pick is logical.
- Free La Liga picks: Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
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