Skip to content

Expert prediction

Liga MX: Toluca vs. Monterrey Preview, Odds, Predictions (May 10)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • May 8, 2025 at 9:16 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Toluca vs. Monterrey Liga MX Clausura semis is on this Saturday, May 10.
  • The first leg ended with Monterrey winning 3-2.
  • Sergio Ramos is questionable for the guests, while Carlos Salcedo is still unable to play.

Monterrey has a narrow yet big lead over Toluca ahead of the Clausura playoffs quarterfinals. The fans expect a fierce battle, while the Liga MX odds see Toluca as light favorites at +105.

How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, May 10, 9 pm ET
  • Where: Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca, Mexico
  • How to Watch: TUDN

Liga MX Odds

TeamOdds
Toluca+105
Tie+220
Monterrey+295

Game Preview

Toluca scored twice in Monterrey, yet they conceded three goals. Now that’s a problem for Antonio Mohamed ahead of this event. They took the lead early on, but allowed three straight hits in their net, before Luan’s goal for 3-2.

Now this is something Toluca often experiences. Three of their past four games ended with Pau Lopez allowing at least two goals. Diablos Rojos play entertaining matches, and only one in the last 10 didn’t end with three or more goals overall.

As for Monterrey, Sergio Ramos might come back for this one. The 39-year-old Spanish legend is questionable for the moment, and if the medical staff manages to recover him, that would be a big plus for La Pandilla.

Check out: Barcelona vs. Real Madrid Preview Odds, Predictions, Picks (May 11)

This team has won four of its last five meetings but concedes way too often. For instance, Monterrey allowed at least two goals in four of the previous six contests.

Toluca vs. Monterrey Head to Head

These rivals have met two times during this calendar year. In mid-January, it was 1-1 here in Toluca, and two days ago, Monterrey triumphed at home in the first leg, 3-2.

Toluca vs. Monterrey Predictions  

Both teams score and concede plenty of goals. Also, this is the second leg in the knockout stage, where one team has to chase the lead, so we expect to see an interesting battle. Our pick here is over 1.5 goals in the second half, because that’s when the whole drama begins to unfold.

  • Free Liga MX picks: Over 1.5 second HT

Soccer

More Predictions

Soccer Insight

MLS Predictions: Decision Day Best Bets, Odds & Picks for Saturday, Nov 7

Best pick: Inter Miami vs. Charlotte FC, Inter Miami (-270) Best BTTS: CF Montreal vs. Vancouver Whitecaps, Yes (-200) Best over/under: FC Cincinnati vs. Nashville SC, Under 3.5 Goals (-137) MLS parlay: Inter Miami, Philadelphia, Vancouver, Nashville (+802) Claim Up to $250 Free Bet at BetOnline It’s Decision Day in MLS. All 15 games kick […]

Alex Dudley 4 min read

Soccer Insight

Liga MX Predictions: Best Bets, Odds & Picks For Apertura Matchday 16

Best pick: Atletico de San Luis vs. FC Juarez, San Luis (-134) Best over/under: Tigres vs. Cruz Azul, Over 2.5 Goals (+103) Liga MX parlay: San Luis, Queretaro, Club America (+570) Claim Up to $250 Free Bet at BetOnline The Apertura is down to its final two weekends, and Matchday 16 is packed with games […]

Alex Dudley 4 min read

Soccer Insight

UEFA Champions League Matchday 4 Predictions: Best Bets, Total Goals & Handicap Picks

The 2026–27 UEFA Champions League league phase came to its midpoint as Matchday 4 (November 3–4, 2026) kicks off this Tuesday. 18 matches are ready for bettors, yet several attract more attention, and therefore a higher volume of wagers. Atletico Madrid hosts Bayern Munich at the Metropolitano, Barcelona welcomes Aston Villa at Camp Nou, while […]

Nikola Velickovic 5 min read

Soccer Insight

Liga MX Picks: Red Hot Cruz Azul After Another Win Over Club Leon

Up to $250 Free Bet, No Rollover Players accepted from all states (excluding NJ) Bet on the NFL Today Cruz Azul is third in the Liga MX standings and awaits Club Leon, who sit 6th. Their previous games have brought high efficiency and goals on both ends, therefore, we expect the same this Sunday night. […]

Nikola Velickovic 2 min read

Soccer Insight

MLS Picks Oct 31-Nov 1: Best Bets, Odds and Predictions for Every Match

Best pick: Columbus Crew to win vs D.C. United (-298) Best BTTS pick: Charlotte vs Orlando City, Yes (-357) Best over/under: LAFC vs Minnesota United, Over 3 goals (-121) MLS parlay: Columbus, LAFC, Orlando City and Inter Miami to win (+1655) Claim Up to $250 Free Bet at BetOnline The pressure is on in MLS […]

Alex Dudley 4 min read