Expert prediction
Liga MX: Toluca vs. Tigres UANL Preview, Odds, Predictions (May 17)
- Nikola Velickovic
- May 16, 2025 at 8:33 AM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Toluca vs. Tigres UANL Clausura semis odds favor the home team, -125.
- The first leg saw a 1-1 tie.
- Gignac is out for Tigres in this one as well.
The first meeting ended without winners, and the Clausura finalist must be decided in Toluca. The hosts are favorites according to Liga MX odds of -125, while Tigres’ win is set at +350.
Check out: Liga MX: Club America vs. Cruz Azul Preview, Odds, Predictions (May 18)
How to Watch
- When: Saturday, May 17, 9 pm ET
- Where: Nemesio Diaz Stadium, Toluca, Mexico
- Where to Watch: TUDN
Toluca vs. Tigres UANL Odds
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Toluca | -125 |
| Tie | +250 |
| UANL Tigres | +370 |
Game Preview
Paulinho’s goal in the injury time of the first half might be worth gold in the end. After Toluca leveled the score, they began playing well, and may we add that Diablos Rojos had several big chances which could have secured them the win in the opening leg.
Toluca has just one loss in the past 10 games, but this team has won just once in the past four. The notable pattern regarding efficiency includes both teams netting in the previous four events, and in 8 of the latest 10 matches Toluca played.
El llamado está hecho 🌌👹 pic.twitter.com/AU5P50ZFJO
— Toluca FC (@TolucaFC) May 16, 2025
Tigres has not won in the last five consecutive games. They had four ties and a loss, but overall, the Tigers’ form has declined sharply over the last several weeks. It seems that the CONCACAF Champions Cup has taken too much of their energy.
Terrible road results are a huge problem for Guido Pizarro. UANL has only one win in the last 10 outings away from home, losing four meetings and posting five draws. Tigres haven’t scored in the past six road games.
Toluca vs. UANL Tigres Head to Head
Since the start of 2025, we have seen two games between these two teams. The first was in February when Toluca won at home, 1-0, and the second was a few days ago, which ended 1-1.
Over the last 8 head-to-head games, 7 ended with both teams scoring.
Toluca vs. Tigres UANL Predictions
The home team is in better form when looking at the recent results, and they were better in the first meeting. This is enough for us to bet on Toluca to win.
- Free Liga MX picks: Toluca
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