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Expert prediction

MLS: New York City FC vs. Toronto FC Preview, Odds, Predictions (July 31)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Jul 28, 2026 at 3:01 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • New York City FC vs. Toronto odds see hosts as a -170 favorite.
  • Toronto FC enters as a +420 home underdog, with the draw priced at +330.
  • New York has won the past 5 games against Toronto.

City has some sort of winning formula for Toronto, as they have beaten the team from Canada in the previous 5 consecutive meetings.

Check more MLS picks here.

How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, July 31, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
  • Where: Yankee Stadium, New York, New York
  • How to Watch: Apple TV, MLS Season Pass

New York City FC vs. Toronto FC Odds

TeamOdds
NYCFC-170
Tie+330
Toronto FC+420

Game Preview

Things are looking good for NYCFC following the MLS restart, having beaten both rivals. The first was Columbus in Ohio 1-2, and afterward we saw them roll over Chicago Fire at Yankee Stadium, 3-1.

Nicolas Mercau is the man in the middle, having scored 12 goals so far. The Argentinian is in the race for the MLS top goalscorer award, being just one goal behind leader Petar Musa from FC Dallas.

When looking at the period before the World Cup, Toronto FC didn’t win in 12 consecutive matches. Almost all of them (11 to be precise) were MLS fixtures.

Toronto had three games after the pause, posting two goalless ties, one in Montreal and the other against the New England Revolution, and losing to DC United, 2-1. All three contests were on the road.

New York City FC vs. Toronto FC Head to Head

As stated, City FC has won the previous 5 games against Toronto FC. Only one was in the Leagues Cup, while the remaining 4 took place in the MLS Championship.

New York City FC vs. Toronto FC Predictions

City is in much better form, and it plays at home. Toronto struggles, and this will be their fourth straight road clash, so it’s easy to understand why we pick New York here.

Topics:

Soccer

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