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Expert prediction

Tunisia vs. Japan – World Cup Group F Betting Preview, Team News, and Predictions (Jun 21) 

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Jun 18, 2026 at 6:37 PM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

Match ResultOdds
Tunisia+570
Tie+270
Japan-190

How to Watch

  • Where: Estadio BBVA, Monterrey, Mexico
  • When: Sunday, June 21, 12 AM ET
  • How to Watch: FOX, Telemundo, Peacock

Tunisia vs. Japan World Cup Preview

Tunisia is falling apart, while on the other side, Japan looked good in its opening match at this World Cup. The Samurai have a nice chance to lock the knockout stage with a win here.

ALSO SEE: World Cup picks page

Tunisia Stats & Team News

Sabri Lamouchi was fired after the disaster against Sweden in the opening round, 5-1. The new head coach is Herve Renard, who now has to lift his unit and try to create a sensation.

Though that will be tough because Tunisia has three losses in a row, two of which saw the defense allow 5 goals. On the other hand, the offense is terrible, scoring only once in the previous 360 minutes.

Likely Lineup: Chamakh; Valery, Rekik, Talbi, Ali Abdi; Skhiri, Khedira; Achouri, Hannibal, Gharbi; Chaouat

Japan Stats & Team News

The Samurai fought bravely against the Netherlands, and eventually got one point from that clash. IT was 2-2, with the Japanese side coming back twice.

This was the 8th straight match without a loss for Japan, who had 5 consecutive clean sheets prior to it. Also, it was the 5th time during that streak that the Asian unit scored twice or more.  

Likely Lineup: Suzuki; Taniguchi, Watanabe, H. Ito; Doan, Kamada, Tanaka, Nakamura; J. Ito, Kubo; Ueda

Head to Head Stats

In 2023, Japan beat Tunisia 2-0. A year before, Tunisia dismantled Japan 3-0. In the 2002 World Cup, Japan won 2-0. All five of their head-to-head games saw just one side netting.

Tunisia vs. Japan World Cup Predictions

Tunisia is in a bad place, yet they have nothing to lose here, and that’s sometimes beneficial. Japan plays quick, offensive-minded football, and they are always looking for a way to score on a counterattack. Our pick here is over 2.5 goals, as Tunis likely plans to go all in and be aggressive.

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