US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina Preview, Odds, and Picks (Sep 12)

• Aryna Sabalenka playing in her fourth consecutive US Open Final.
• Elena Rybakina bidding to reach a second Grand Slam title in 2026.
• Sabalanka holds a 10-7 overall advantage based on previous encounters.

All eyes will be on Arthur Ashe Stadium on Saturday 12, as the Women’s US Open Final will be staged. Aryna Sabalenka will have her sights set on a three-peat, while Elena Rybakina will be aiming to celebrate moving to the top of the world rankings with a second Grand Slam of 2026. The tennis betting sites struggle to separate two of the standout stars on the WTA Tour. You can find the odds and our Sabalenka vs. Rybakina picks here.  

How to Watch

• When: Saturday, September 12, 2026. 9:00 PM ET
• Where: Arthur Ashe Stadium, New York, USA
• How to Watch: ABC, ESPN

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina Odds

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina Preview

The top two seeds in the Women’s US Open draw will square off in the final Grand Slam Final of 2026 this Saturday, as Aryna Sabalenka chases a historic three-peat when she takes on Elena Rybakina.

Sabalenka has been the dominant force in New York over the last four years, winning each of the last two titles and reaching the previous three finals. The top seed showcased her ruthless dominance in the semi-final on Thursday, landing a straight sets win against Jessica Pegula.

The Belarusian was dominant throughout the clash, hitting seven aces, and using her powerful swings to hit 65 winners. She also won 74% of the points on first serve and 76% on second serve. Sabalenka’s dominance on her first serve will be a key factor this weekend, as the two-time defending champion has won 81.5% of her service games in 2026.

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Elena Rybakina will move to the top of the WTA Rankings regardless of the result in the US Open final, but the star will be keen to celebrate her landmark achievement by winning a second Grand Slam title of 2026.

Rybakina showcased her championship credentials on Thursday, battling back from a set down to eventually overcome Coco Gauff in a passionate atmosphere. She will likely need to reduce her unforced errors to push Sabalenka to her limit, while Rybakina will also need to improve her efficiency on second serve after winning just 59% of the points in the semi-final.

However, her power ensures that she has the tools to compete against the dominant player at the US Open. Rybakina showcased this in the semi-final, hitting an impressive 88 winners.

Head-to-Head Record

Sabalenka holds the head-to-head advantage, having won ten of the 17 encounters. That includes victories in each of the previous two encounters, landing victories in the Indian Wells Final and at the semi-final stage of the WTA Tour event in Miami.

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina Picks

Sabalenka was faultless in her semi-final, as she showcased the dominance that she has in New York. She is a different animal at this Grand Slam, with the hard courts really playing to her strengths. Therefore, we could foresee the top seed retaining the US Open title for the third straight year.

• Aryna Sabalenka (-140)